Football · Spain Tercera Group 7 · 20/09, 16:30
Prediction: CD Galapagar vs Las Rozas
Team pages: CD Galapagar · Las Rozas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
CD Galapagar1.38
Las Rozas1.62
1X2
CD Galapagar
Draw
Las Rozas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Galapagar
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Las Rozas
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Galapagar
3–2–1
Las Rozas
(6 last)
- CD Galapagar3-1Las Rozas
- Las Rozas1-1CD Galapagar
- Las Rozas1-2CD Galapagar
- CD Galapagar1-3Las Rozas
- CD Galapagar1-1Las Rozas
- Las Rozas0-1CD Galapagar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Galapagar 1528 · Las Rozas 1531
| CD Galapagar | Draw | Las Rozas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CD Galapagar: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Galapagar | Las Rozas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/22/44% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Galapagar 3–2–1 Las Rozas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 7 | CD Galapagar | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Las Rozas |
| 11/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 7 | Las Rozas | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CD Galapagar |
| 23/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 7 | Las Rozas | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CD Galapagar |
| 10/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 7 | CD Galapagar | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Las Rozas |
| 10/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 7 | CD Galapagar | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Las Rozas |
| 22/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 7 | Las Rozas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Galapagar |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 7
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Rozas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Union Adarve | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | CD Colonia Moscardo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | CD Galapagar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | CD Mostoles URJC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Trival Valderas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Leganes B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | UD San Sebastián Reyes B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Torrejon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | AD Cala Pozuelo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Pozuelo Alarcon | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Mexico FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Fuenlabrada | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Rayo Vallecano B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | AD Parla | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Siello FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Real Aranjuez | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Galapagar | Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Pozuelo Alarcon | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Union Adarve | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| SAD Villaverde San Andres | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Atletico Madrid C | 3-2 W | 3-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Las Rozas (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Galapagar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Real Aranjuez Spain Tercera Group 7 |
– | 5-2 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Pozuelo Alarcon Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Las Rozas Spain Tercera Group 7 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | AD Parla Spain Tercera Group 7 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 26/04 | Union Adarve Spain Tercera Group 7 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Alcorcon B Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | SAD Villaverde San Andres Spain Tercera Group 7 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 02/04 | Mexico FC Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 28/03 | Atletico Madrid C Spain Tercera Group 7 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | CDF Tres Cantos Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
Las Rozas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Leganes B Spain Tercera Group 7 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | AD Cala Pozuelo Spain Tercera Group 7 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Torrejon Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Galapagar Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Union Adarve Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | SAD Villaverde San Andres Spain Tercera Group 7 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Atletico Madrid C Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | Siello FC Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/04 | Pozuelo Alarcon Spain Tercera Group 7 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 29/03 | Leganes B Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Galapagar vs Las Rozas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Las Rozas win (42%). Probabilities: CD Galapagar 31%, draw 27%, Las Rozas 42%.
How many goals are expected in CD Galapagar vs Las Rozas?
The model expects 3 goals (CD Galapagar 1.38 · Las Rozas 1.62), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Galapagar vs Las Rozas?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.