Football · Spain Tercera Group 7 · 27/09, 11:30
Prediction: Torrejon vs CD Mostoles URJC
Team pages: Torrejon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Torrejon1.17
CD Mostoles URJC1.17
1X2
Torrejon
Draw
CD Mostoles URJC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Torrejon
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
CD Mostoles URJC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Torrejon
1–3–2
CD Mostoles URJC
(6 last)
- CD Mostoles URJC2-3Torrejon
- Torrejon0-1CD Mostoles URJC
- CD Mostoles URJC3-0Torrejon
- Torrejon0-0CD Mostoles URJC
- CD Mostoles URJC1-1Torrejon
- Torrejon1-1CD Mostoles URJC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Torrejon 1505 · CD Mostoles URJC 1527
| Torrejon | Draw | CD Mostoles URJC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CD Mostoles URJC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 13.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Torrejon | CD Mostoles URJC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 22/67/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.4 | 7.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Torrejon 1–3–2 CD Mostoles URJC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 7 | CD Mostoles URJC | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Torrejon |
| 23/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 7 | Torrejon | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Mostoles URJC |
| 20/08/25 Spain Copa Federacion | CD Mostoles URJC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Torrejon |
| 07/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 7 | Torrejon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Mostoles URJC |
| 19/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 7 | CD Mostoles URJC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Torrejon |
| 17/08/23 Club Friendly List | Torrejon | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CD Mostoles URJC |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 7
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trival Valderas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | CD Colonia Moscardo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Las Rozas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | CD Mostoles URJC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | CD Galapagar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas CF | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Union Adarve | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | AD Parla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Fuenlabrada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Pozuelo Alarcon | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | AD Cala Pozuelo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Torrejon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | UD San Sebastián Reyes B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Mexico FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Real Aranjuez | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Siello FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Torrejon | CD Mostoles URJC |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| AD Parla | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Torrejon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Fuenlabrada Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Mexico FC Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Colonia Moscardo Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Las Rozas Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | AD Parla Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Alcorcon B Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Mexico FC Spain Tercera Group 7 |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | CDF Tres Cantos Spain Tercera Group 7 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | RCD Carabanchel Spain Tercera Group 7 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 05/04 | CD Mostoles URJC Spain Tercera Group 7 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
CD Mostoles URJC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | AD Cala Pozuelo Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Fuenlabrada Spain Tercera Group 7 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 06/09 | Rayo Vallecano B Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 10/05 | Atletico Madrid C Spain Tercera Group 7 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Siello FC Spain Tercera Group 7 |
– | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Pozuelo Alarcon Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Leganes B Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Trival Valderas Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Torrejon Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 29/03 | AD Parla Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torrejon vs CD Mostoles URJC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Torrejon win (35%). Probabilities: Torrejon 35%, draw 29%, CD Mostoles URJC 35%.
How many goals are expected in Torrejon vs CD Mostoles URJC?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Torrejon 1.17 · CD Mostoles URJC 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Torrejon vs CD Mostoles URJC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.