Football · Spain Tercera Group 7 · 13/09, 12:00

Prediction: Las Rozas vs Leganes B

Team pages: Las Rozas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Las Rozas1.61

Leganes B1.36

1X2

42% 28% 31%

Las Rozas Draw Leganes B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Las Rozas 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Leganes B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Las Rozas 2–2–2 Leganes B (6 last)

Leganes B1-0Las Rozas
Las Rozas2-1Leganes B
Leganes B1-2Las Rozas
Las Rozas2-4Leganes B
Leganes B1-1Las Rozas
Las Rozas1-1Leganes B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Las Rozas 1522 · Leganes B 1504

	Las Rozas	Draw	Leganes B
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	41%	29%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Las Rozas	Leganes B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.4	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
18:07 +2’	2.20	3.10	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Las Rozas 2–2–2 Leganes B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 7	Leganes B	1-0 HT 0-0	Las Rozas
16/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 7	Las Rozas	2-1 HT 2-0	Leganes B
27/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 7	Leganes B	1-2 HT 1-1	Las Rozas
15/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 7	Las Rozas	2-4 HT 0-3	Leganes B
25/05/24 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs	Leganes B	1-1 HT 0-0	Las Rozas
19/05/24 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs	Las Rozas	1-1 HT 0-0	Leganes B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Las Rozas	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
2	Fuenlabrada	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
2	Mexico FC	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
4	Torrejon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Union Adarve	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	CD Colonia Moscardo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	CD Galapagar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Leganes B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	CD Mostoles URJC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Pozuelo Alarcon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Trival Valderas	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	AD Parla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas CF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Rayo Vallecano B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Real Aranjuez	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Siello FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	UD San Sebastián Reyes B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	AD Cala Pozuelo	1	0	0	1	1	3	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Las Rozas	Leganes B
Union Adarve	0-2 L	3-4 L
Trival Valderas	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Leganes B (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Las Rozas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	AD Cala Pozuelo Spain Tercera Group 7	3-0	3-1	1	4	W
17/05	Torrejon Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
10/05	CD Galapagar Spain Tercera Group 7	0-2	1-3	0	4	L
03/05	Union Adarve Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	0-2	14	4	L
26/04	SAD Villaverde San Andres Spain Tercera Group 7	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
19/04	Atletico Madrid C Spain Tercera Group 7	0-2	3-5	5	7	L
12/04	Siello FC Spain Tercera Group 7	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
01/04	Pozuelo Alarcon Spain Tercera Group 7	1-0	1-0	2	11	W
29/03	Leganes B Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	0-1	11	7	L
22/03	Trival Valderas Spain Tercera Group 7	2-0	2-3	2	4	L

Leganes B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Real Aranjuez Spain Tercera Group 7	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
17/05	Trival Valderas Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
10/05	Mexico FC Spain Tercera Group 7	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
03/05	CDF Tres Cantos Spain Tercera Group 7	–	3-2	–	–	W
25/04	RCD Carabanchel Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
19/04	CD Mostoles URJC Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/04	UD San Sebastián Reyes B Spain Tercera Group 7	2-1	2-3	4	2	L
03/04	Racing Madrid Spain Tercera Group 7	2-0	6-0	4	6	W
29/03	Las Rozas Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
22/03	Union Adarve Spain Tercera Group 7	1-1	3-4	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Las Rozas vs Leganes B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Las Rozas win (42%). Probabilities: Las Rozas 42%, draw 28%, Leganes B 31%.

How many goals are expected in Las Rozas vs Leganes B?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Las Rozas 1.61 · Leganes B 1.36), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Las Rozas vs Leganes B?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.