Football · Spain Tercera Group 7 · 27/09, 11:30

Prediction: Siello FC vs Mexico FC

Team pages: Siello FC · Mexico FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Siello FC1.27
Mexico FC1.56
1X2
29% 28% 42%
Siello FC Draw Mexico FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Siello FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWWWWLLL
Mexico FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LWDDDLWDLD
Head-to-head
Siello FC 1–1 Mexico FC (2 last)
  • Siello FC1-2Mexico FC
  • Mexico FC0-1Siello FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Siello FC 1454 · Mexico FC 1481
Siello FCDrawMexico FC
Our model30%27%43%
Market29%29%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Siello FCMexico FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.71.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/22/44%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 5.32.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.26 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Siello FC 1–0–1 Mexico FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
25/01/26
Spain Tercera Group 7
Siello FC1-2
HT 1-0
Mexico FC
13/09/25
Spain Tercera Group 7
Mexico FC0-1
HT 0-1
Siello FC

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 7

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Trival Valderas 4220 638
2 CD Colonia Moscardo 3210 727
3 Las Rozas 3210 747
4 CD Mostoles URJC 3210 417
5 Leganes B 3201 846
6 CD Galapagar 3120 745
6 Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas CF 3120 745
8 Union Adarve 3120 425
9 AD Parla 3111 554
10 Fuenlabrada 3111 444
11 Pozuelo Alarcon 3030 333
12 AD Cala Pozuelo 3102 463
13 Torrejon 3102 243
14 UD San Sebastián Reyes B 3102 253
15 Mexico FC 3021 122
16 Rayo Vallecano B 3012 371
17 Real Aranjuez 4013 4101
18 Siello FC 3003 2100

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSiello FCMexico FC
Trival Valderas 1-3 L 0-2 L
Union Adarve 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mexico FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Siello FC

LLWWWWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 CD Colonia Moscardo
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-1 1-5 26 L
13/09 UD San Sebastián Reyes B
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-2 0-2 105 L
06/09 Trival Valderas
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 1-3 88 L
10/05 RCD Carabanchel
Spain Tercera Group 7
2-0 3-0 47 W
03/05 CD Mostoles URJC
Spain Tercera Group 7
– 5-3 –– W
26/04 UD San Sebastián Reyes B
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 2-1 27 W
19/04 Racing Madrid
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 1-0 55 W
12/04 Las Rozas
Spain Tercera Group 7
2-0 2-1 45 W
02/04 Union Adarve
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-1 0-1 76 L
28/03 SAD Villaverde San Andres
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-1 0-1 66 L

Mexico FC

LWDDDLWDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Union Adarve
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-1 1-1 49 D
13/09 Torrejon
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 0-1 37 L
05/09 Fuenlabrada
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 0-0 27 D
10/05 Leganes B
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-1 2-1 54 W
03/05 Trival Valderas
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-2 0-2 84 L
26/04 Torrejon
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-3 3-3 46 D
18/04 AD Parla
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-2 2-2 410 D
11/04 Alcorcon B
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 1-1 04 D
02/04 CD Galapagar
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 3-1 49 W
28/03 CDF Tres Cantos
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 0-5 75 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Siello FC vs Mexico FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mexico FC win (42%). Probabilities: Siello FC 29%, draw 28%, Mexico FC 42%.

How many goals are expected in Siello FC vs Mexico FC?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Siello FC 1.27 · Mexico FC 1.56), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Siello FC vs Mexico FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.