Football · Spain Tercera Group 7 · 27/09, 12:00

Prediction: Pozuelo Alarcon vs UD San Sebastián Reyes B

Team pages: Pozuelo Alarcon · UD San Sebastián Reyes B

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Pozuelo Alarcon1.28
UD San Sebastián Reyes B1.16
1X2
38% 30% 32%
Pozuelo Alarcon Draw UD San Sebastián Reyes B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Pozuelo Alarcon 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DLWDWLWDDD
UD San Sebastián Reyes B 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDWDLWWLWL
Head-to-head
Pozuelo Alarcon 1–1–0 UD San Sebastián Reyes B (2 last)
  • UD San Sebastián Reyes B1-1Pozuelo Alarcon
  • Pozuelo Alarcon2-1UD San Sebastián Reyes B
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pozuelo Alarcon 1509 · UD San Sebastián Reyes B 1501
Pozuelo AlarconDrawUD San Sebastián Reyes B
Our model38%30%32%
Market38%30%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pozuelo AlarconUD San Sebastián Reyes B
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.21.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/10/30%14/43/43%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.91.3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.24.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pozuelo Alarcon 1–1–0 UD San Sebastián Reyes B

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Spain Tercera Group 7
UD San Sebastián Reyes B1-1
HT 0-1
Pozuelo Alarcon
14/12/25
Spain Tercera Group 7
Pozuelo Alarcon2-1
HT 0-1
UD San Sebastián Reyes B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 7

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Trival Valderas 4220 638
2 CD Colonia Moscardo 3210 727
3 Las Rozas 3210 747
4 CD Mostoles URJC 3210 417
5 Leganes B 3201 846
6 CD Galapagar 3120 745
6 Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas CF 3120 745
8 Union Adarve 3120 425
9 AD Parla 3111 554
10 Fuenlabrada 3111 444
11 Pozuelo Alarcon 3030 333
12 AD Cala Pozuelo 3102 463
13 Torrejon 3102 243
14 UD San Sebastián Reyes B 3102 253
15 Mexico FC 3021 122
16 Rayo Vallecano B 3012 371
17 Real Aranjuez 4013 4101
18 Siello FC 3003 2100

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPozuelo AlarconUD San Sebastián Reyes B
Trival Valderas 1-1 D 0-0 D
Union Adarve 2-2 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pozuelo Alarcon (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pozuelo Alarcon

DLWDWLWDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Trival Valderas
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 1-1 136 D
12/09 Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas CF
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 1-1 35 D
06/09 CD Galapagar
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 1-1 38 D
10/05 CDF Tres Cantos
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-1 3-1 53 W
03/05 RCD Carabanchel
Spain Tercera Group 7
2-0 2-3 13 L
25/04 CD Mostoles URJC
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 2-0 59 W
19/04 UD San Sebastián Reyes B
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 1-1 43 D
12/04 Racing Madrid
Spain Tercera Group 7
2-1 4-1 76 W
01/04 Las Rozas
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-1 0-1 511 L
28/03 Union Adarve
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-1 2-2 38 D

UD San Sebastián Reyes B

DDWDLWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 AD Parla
Spain Tercera Group 7
– 0-3 810 L
13/09 Siello FC
Spain Tercera Group 7
2-0 2-0 35 W
06/09 Union Adarve
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-1 0-2 33 L
10/05 SAD Villaverde San Andres
Spain Tercera Group 7
– 4-0 –– W
03/05 Atletico Madrid C
Spain Tercera Group 7
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 Siello FC
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 1-2 117 L
19/04 Pozuelo Alarcon
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-1 1-1 73 D
12/04 Leganes B
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-2 3-2 92 W
05/04 Trival Valderas
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 0-0 23 D
29/03 Torrejon
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 1-1 46 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pozuelo Alarcon vs UD San Sebastián Reyes B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pozuelo Alarcon win (38%). Probabilities: Pozuelo Alarcon 38%, draw 30%, UD San Sebastián Reyes B 32%.

How many goals are expected in Pozuelo Alarcon vs UD San Sebastián Reyes B?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Pozuelo Alarcon 1.28 · UD San Sebastián Reyes B 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pozuelo Alarcon vs UD San Sebastián Reyes B?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.