Football · Spain Tercera Group 7 · 04/10, 11:45

Prediction: CD Mostoles URJC vs Leganes B

Team pages: CD Mostoles URJC · Leganes B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

CD Mostoles URJC1.46

Leganes B1.14

1X2

43% 28% 29%

CD Mostoles URJC Draw Leganes B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Mostoles URJC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Leganes B 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CD Mostoles URJC 1–3–2 Leganes B (6 last)

CD Mostoles URJC1-1Leganes B
Leganes B2-0CD Mostoles URJC
CD Mostoles URJC0-3Leganes B
Leganes B0-1CD Mostoles URJC
Leganes B0-0CD Mostoles URJC
CD Mostoles URJC3-3Leganes B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Mostoles URJC 1526 · Leganes B 1490

	CD Mostoles URJC	Draw	Leganes B
Our model	43%	28%	28%
Market	44%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Leganes B: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Mostoles URJC	Leganes B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/67/11%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.3	1.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.2 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.25

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.15 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.13

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:54 +3’	2.05	3.25	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:28 +89’	2.15	3.11	3.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Mostoles URJC 1–3–2 Leganes B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 7	CD Mostoles URJC	1-1 HT 0-0	Leganes B
14/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 7	Leganes B	2-0 HT 0-0	CD Mostoles URJC
28/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 7	CD Mostoles URJC	0-3 HT 0-1	Leganes B
17/12/23 Spain Tercera Group 7	Leganes B	0-1 HT 0-1	CD Mostoles URJC
20/02/22 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	Leganes B	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Mostoles URJC
03/10/21 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	CD Mostoles URJC	3-3 HT 1-2	Leganes B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Mostoles URJC	4	3	1	0	5	1	10
2	CD Colonia Moscardo	4	2	2	0	9	4	8
3	CD Galapagar	4	2	2	0	9	5	8
4	Trival Valderas	4	2	2	0	6	3	8
5	Las Rozas	3	2	1	0	7	4	7
6	AD Cala Pozuelo	4	2	0	2	5	6	6
7	Union Adarve	4	1	3	0	6	4	6
8	Pozuelo Alarcon	4	1	3	0	6	5	6
9	Leganes B	4	2	0	2	8	5	6
10	Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas CF	3	1	2	0	7	4	5
11	Fuenlabrada	4	1	2	1	6	6	5
12	AD Parla	4	1	2	1	7	7	5
13	UD San Sebastián Reyes B	4	1	0	3	4	8	3
14	Torrejon	4	1	0	3	2	5	3
15	Siello FC	4	1	0	3	5	12	3
16	Mexico FC	4	0	2	2	3	5	2
17	Rayo Vallecano B	4	0	1	3	4	9	1
18	Real Aranjuez	4	0	1	3	4	10	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Mostoles URJC	Leganes B
AD Cala Pozuelo	1-0 W	0-1 L
Rayo Vallecano B	0-0 D	4-1 W
Trival Valderas	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Mostoles URJC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Torrejon Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
20/09	AD Cala Pozuelo Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
13/09	Fuenlabrada Spain Tercera Group 7	2-0	3-1	1	10	W
06/09	Rayo Vallecano B Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	0-0	6	10	D
10/05	Atletico Madrid C Spain Tercera Group 7	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
03/05	Siello FC Spain Tercera Group 7	–	3-5	–	–	L
25/04	Pozuelo Alarcon Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	0-2	2	9	L
19/04	Leganes B Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/04	Trival Valderas Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
05/04	Torrejon Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	2-3	3	8	L

Leganes B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	AD Cala Pozuelo Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
19/09	Rayo Vallecano B Spain Tercera Group 7	2-1	4-1	2	6	W
13/09	Las Rozas Spain Tercera Group 7	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
06/09	Real Aranjuez Spain Tercera Group 7	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
17/05	Trival Valderas Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
10/05	Mexico FC Spain Tercera Group 7	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
03/05	CDF Tres Cantos Spain Tercera Group 7	–	3-2	–	–	W
25/04	RCD Carabanchel Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
19/04	CD Mostoles URJC Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/04	UD San Sebastián Reyes B Spain Tercera Group 7	2-1	2-3	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Mostoles URJC vs Leganes B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Mostoles URJC win (43%). Probabilities: CD Mostoles URJC 43%, draw 28%, Leganes B 29%.

How many goals are expected in CD Mostoles URJC vs Leganes B?

The model expects 2.6 goals (CD Mostoles URJC 1.46 · Leganes B 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Mostoles URJC vs Leganes B?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.