Football · Spain Tercera Group 7 · 13/09, 11:30

Prediction: Siello FC vs UD San Sebastián Reyes B

Team pages: Siello FC · UD San Sebastián Reyes B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Siello FC1.2

UD San Sebastián Reyes B1.17

1X2

36% 30% 34%

Siello FC Draw UD San Sebastián Reyes B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Siello FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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UD San Sebastián Reyes B 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Siello FC 1–1 UD San Sebastián Reyes B (2 last)

Siello FC2-1UD San Sebastián Reyes B
UD San Sebastián Reyes B2-0Siello FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Siello FC 1489 · UD San Sebastián Reyes B 1515

	Siello FC	Draw	UD San Sebastián Reyes B
Our model	35%	31%	34%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Siello FC	UD San Sebastián Reyes B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/25/38%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.1	2.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.91 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:32 +29’	2.50	3.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:41 +140’	2.91	2.79	2.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Siello FC 1–0–1 UD San Sebastián Reyes B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 7	Siello FC	2-1 HT 0-0	UD San Sebastián Reyes B
21/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 7	UD San Sebastián Reyes B	2-0 HT 0-0	Siello FC

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Las Rozas	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
2	Fuenlabrada	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
2	Mexico FC	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
4	Torrejon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Union Adarve	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	CD Colonia Moscardo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	CD Galapagar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Leganes B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	CD Mostoles URJC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Pozuelo Alarcon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Trival Valderas	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	AD Parla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas CF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Rayo Vallecano B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Real Aranjuez	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Siello FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	UD San Sebastián Reyes B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	AD Cala Pozuelo	1	0	0	1	1	3	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Siello FC	UD San Sebastián Reyes B
Trival Valderas	1-3 L	0-0 D
Union Adarve	0-1 L	0-2 L
SAD Villaverde San Andres	0-1 L	4-0 W
Atletico Madrid C	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: UD San Sebastián Reyes B (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Siello FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Trival Valderas Spain Tercera Group 7	1-0	1-3	8	8	L
10/05	RCD Carabanchel Spain Tercera Group 7	2-0	3-0	4	7	W
03/05	CD Mostoles URJC Spain Tercera Group 7	–	5-3	–	–	W
26/04	UD San Sebastián Reyes B Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	2-1	2	7	W
19/04	Racing Madrid Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
12/04	Las Rozas Spain Tercera Group 7	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
02/04	Union Adarve Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
28/03	SAD Villaverde San Andres Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
22/03	Atletico Madrid C Spain Tercera Group 7	–	0-0	–	–	D
15/03	CD Galapagar Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	1-1	5	5	D

UD San Sebastián Reyes B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Union Adarve Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
10/05	SAD Villaverde San Andres Spain Tercera Group 7	–	4-0	–	–	W
03/05	Atletico Madrid C Spain Tercera Group 7	–	1-0	–	–	W
26/04	Siello FC Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-2	11	7	L
19/04	Pozuelo Alarcon Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
12/04	Leganes B Spain Tercera Group 7	1-2	3-2	9	2	W
05/04	Trival Valderas Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
29/03	Torrejon Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
22/03	AD Parla Spain Tercera Group 7	0-2	2-3	8	6	L
14/03	Alcorcon B Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Siello FC vs UD San Sebastián Reyes B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Siello FC win (36%). Probabilities: Siello FC 36%, draw 30%, UD San Sebastián Reyes B 34%.

How many goals are expected in Siello FC vs UD San Sebastián Reyes B?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Siello FC 1.2 · UD San Sebastián Reyes B 1.17), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Siello FC vs UD San Sebastián Reyes B?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.