Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 31/08, 01:00
Prediction: Carabobo vs Zamora
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Carabobo2
Zamora0.68
1X2
Carabobo
Draw
Zamora
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Carabobo
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Zamora
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Carabobo
4–1–1
Zamora
(6 last)
- Zamora0-0Carabobo
- Carabobo1-0Zamora
- Zamora0-1Carabobo
- Zamora2-0Carabobo
- Carabobo3-1Zamora
- Zamora0-2Carabobo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carabobo 1554 · Zamora 1509
| Carabobo | Draw | Zamora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 22% | 11% |
| Market | 67% | 22% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carabobo (rating 1554 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Carabobo: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carabobo | Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.1 | 5.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carabobo 4–1–1 Zamora
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Carabobo |
| 09/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Zamora |
| 02/03/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Carabobo |
| 04/09/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Carabobo |
| 16/03/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Zamora |
| 30/09/23 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Carabobo |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Zamora | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Caracas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Monagas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | UCV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Carabobo | Zamora |
|---|---|---|
| Caracas | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Metropolitanos FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Monagas | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Trujillanos | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Estudiantes Merida | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Carabobo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carabobo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 04/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 08/06 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 14/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Zamora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-4 | 1-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 20/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/04 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carabobo vs Zamora?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Carabobo win (68%). Probabilities: Carabobo 68%, draw 22%, Zamora 11%.
How many goals are expected in Carabobo vs Zamora?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Carabobo 2 · Zamora 0.68), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Carabobo vs Zamora?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.