Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 03/09, 21:30
Prediction: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo
Team pages: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano · Carabobo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0.87
Carabobo1.83
1X2
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Draw
Carabobo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Carabobo
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
1–2–3
Carabobo
(6 last)
- Carabobo5-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-2Carabobo
- Carabobo1-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano2-1Carabobo
- Carabobo2-2Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-0Carabobo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1456 · Carabobo 1529
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Draw | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 25% | 59% |
| Market | 17% | 23% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carabobo (rating 1456 vs 1529).
- H2H favours Carabobo: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.6 | 2.5 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.6 | 6.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1–2–3 Carabobo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 30/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Carabobo |
| 29/03/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 05/10/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Carabobo |
| 06/04/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 29/07/23 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Carabobo |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Trujillanos | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Zamora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | UCV | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | Caracas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Monagas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 13 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
| 14 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Carabobo |
|---|---|---|
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Estudiantes Merida | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Zamora | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Caracas | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Metropolitanos FC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Monagas | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Trujillanos | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Carabobo (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 12 | L |
| 16/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 10/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 06/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
Carabobo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 04/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 08/06 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Carabobo win (60%). Probabilities: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 17%, draw 24%, Carabobo 60%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 0.87 · Carabobo 1.83), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.