Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 11/10, 22:00
Prediction: Trujillanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello
Team pages: Trujillanos · Academia Puerto Cabello
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Trujillanos0.88
Academia Puerto Cabello1.65
1X2
Trujillanos
Draw
Academia Puerto Cabello
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Trujillanos
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Academia Puerto Cabello
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trujillanos
2–1–3
Academia Puerto Cabello
(6 last)
- Academia Puerto Cabello3-1Trujillanos
- Trujillanos0-4Academia Puerto Cabello
- Academia Puerto Cabello1-3Trujillanos
- Academia Puerto Cabello2-2Trujillanos
- Trujillanos1-2Academia Puerto Cabello
- Trujillanos2-0Academia Puerto Cabello
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trujillanos 1442 · Academia Puerto Cabello 1549
| Trujillanos | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 27% | 54% |
| Market | 19% | 26% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Puerto Cabello (rating 1442 vs 1549).
- H2H favours Academia Puerto Cabello: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trujillanos | Academia Puerto Cabello | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.6 | 2.2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trujillanos 2–1–3 Academia Puerto Cabello
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Trujillanos |
| 09/12/20 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 09/11/20 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Trujillanos |
| 17/10/19 Venezuela Cup | Academia Puerto Cabello | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Trujillanos |
| 09/10/19 Venezuela Cup | Trujillanos | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 11/08/19 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 8 | UCV | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Monagas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Caracas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 11 |
| 11 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 11 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 13 | Zamora | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trujillanos | Academia Puerto Cabello |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes Merida | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Zamora | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Caracas | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Academia Anzoategui FC | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Portuguesa | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Tachira | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Carabobo | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Academia Puerto Cabello (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trujillanos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/09 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Academia Puerto Cabello
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 15 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trujillanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Academia Puerto Cabello win (54%). Probabilities: Trujillanos 19%, draw 27%, Academia Puerto Cabello 54%.
How many goals are expected in Trujillanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Trujillanos 0.88 · Academia Puerto Cabello 1.65), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Trujillanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.