Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 05/09, 23:00
Prediction: Portuguesa vs Zamora
Team pages: Portuguesa · Zamora
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Portuguesa1.57
Zamora1
1X2
Portuguesa
Draw
Zamora
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Portuguesa
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Zamora
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Portuguesa
3–3
Zamora
(6 last)
- Zamora0-2Portuguesa
- Zamora1-0Portuguesa
- Portuguesa2-1Zamora
- Portuguesa2-3Zamora
- Zamora0-1Portuguesa
- Portuguesa1-2Zamora
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Portuguesa 1544 · Zamora 1473
| Portuguesa | Draw | Zamora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portuguesa (rating 1544 vs 1473).
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portuguesa | Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.1 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.7 / 0 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portuguesa 3–0–3 Zamora
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Portuguesa |
| 21/07/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Portuguesa |
| 08/02/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Zamora |
| 19/10/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Zamora |
| 30/06/24 Venezuela Cup | Zamora | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Portuguesa |
| 13/06/24 Venezuela Cup | Portuguesa | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Zamora |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Tachira | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Monagas | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 9 | UCV | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 10 | Caracas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 12 | Zamora | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 6 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portuguesa | Zamora |
|---|---|---|
| Caracas | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Metropolitanos FC | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Academia Anzoategui FC | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Tachira | 0-1 L | 2-5 L |
| Carabobo | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| UCV | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 0-2 L | 1-6 L |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Portuguesa (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portuguesa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 05/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Zamora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-4 | 1-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 20/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portuguesa vs Zamora?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Portuguesa win (49%). Probabilities: Portuguesa 49%, draw 28%, Zamora 23%.
How many goals are expected in Portuguesa vs Zamora?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Portuguesa 1.57 · Zamora 1), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Portuguesa vs Zamora?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.