Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 11/10, 22:00
Prediction: Academia Anzoategui FC vs Carabobo
Team pages: Academia Anzoategui FC · Carabobo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Academia Anzoategui FC0.99
Carabobo1.84
1X2
Academia Anzoategui FC
Draw
Carabobo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Academia Anzoategui FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Carabobo
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academia Anzoategui FC
0–1–2
Carabobo
(3 last)
- Carabobo6-3Academia Anzoategui FC
- Academia Anzoategui FC0-0Carabobo
- Carabobo1-0Academia Anzoategui FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia Anzoategui FC 1431 · Carabobo 1552
| Academia Anzoategui FC | Draw | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 25% | 56% |
| Market | 19% | 25% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carabobo (rating 1431 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Carabobo: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia Anzoategui FC | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 2.6 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Anzoategui FC 0–1–2 Carabobo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 6-3 HT 2-1 | Academia Anzoategui FC |
| 20/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Anzoategui FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Carabobo |
| 13/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Carabobo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Academia Anzoategui FC |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 8 | UCV | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Monagas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Caracas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 11 |
| 11 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 11 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 13 | Zamora | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 5 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Academia Anzoategui FC | Carabobo |
|---|---|---|
| Caracas | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| UCV | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Metropolitanos FC | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Monagas | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Trujillanos | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Estudiantes Merida | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 6 L | 5 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Carabobo (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academia Anzoategui FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/09 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 06/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Carabobo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | D |
| 16/09 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 08/09 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/09 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 04/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Carabobo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Carabobo win (56%). Probabilities: Academia Anzoategui FC 19%, draw 25%, Carabobo 56%.
How many goals are expected in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Carabobo?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Academia Anzoategui FC 0.99 · Carabobo 1.84), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Carabobo?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.