Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 25/10, 18:00

Prediction: Badalona vs UE Cornella

Team pages: Badalona · UE Cornella

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Badalona1.64

UE Cornella1.33

1X2

43% 27% 29%

Badalona Draw UE Cornella

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Badalona 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWWDD

UE Cornella 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDDLDL

Head-to-head

Badalona 5–1 UE Cornella (6 last)

Badalona3-0UE Cornella
UE Cornella4-1Badalona
UE Cornella2-4Badalona
Badalona4-1UE Cornella
UE Cornella1-3Badalona
Badalona2-0UE Cornella

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Badalona 1518 · UE Cornella 1505

	Badalona	Draw	UE Cornella
Our model	44%	26%	30%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Badalona: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Badalona	UE Cornella
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/38/38%	0/63/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	3.3 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 2.10▲	Pinn 2.35 ★
X	3.25 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20
2	3.75 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:01 +5’	1.85	3.25	3.75
22:03 +5’	2.10▲	3.20▼	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:43 +25’	2.35	2.99	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Badalona 5–0–1 UE Cornella

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs	Badalona	3-0 HT 0-0	UE Cornella
31/05/26 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs	UE Cornella	4-1 HT 0-0	Badalona
15/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Cornella	2-4 HT 0-2	Badalona
05/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	Badalona	4-1 HT 1-0	UE Cornella
20/08/22 Spain Copa de Catalunya	UE Cornella	1-3 HT 0-3	Badalona
14/08/21 Europe Friendlies	Badalona	2-0 HT 1-0	UE Cornella

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CE L'Hospitalet	7	3	4	0	11	7	13
2	Vilanova Geltru	7	3	4	0	9	5	13
3	CF Montanesa	7	4	0	3	9	5	12
4	FE Grama	7	3	2	2	11	4	11
5	Badalona	7	3	2	2	12	6	11
6	Pobla Mafumet	7	3	1	3	10	9	10
7	Atletic Lleida	7	2	3	2	9	10	9
8	UE San Juan Montcada	7	3	0	4	8	13	9
9	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	7	2	3	2	7	8	9
10	FC Martinenc	7	2	3	2	13	16	9
11	UE Tona	7	3	0	4	6	9	9
12	CP San Cristobal	7	2	2	3	6	14	8
13	FC L'Escala	7	2	2	3	9	10	8
14	Peralada	7	1	5	1	9	7	8
15	CFJ Mollerussa	7	2	2	3	6	7	8
16	CE Europa B	7	2	2	3	10	8	8
17	UE Cornella	7	1	4	2	8	9	7
18	UE Vilassar de Mar	7	2	1	4	9	15	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Badalona	UE Cornella
Atletic Lleida	2-2 D	2-2 D
Vilanova Geltru	0-0 D	1-0 W
CE L'Hospitalet	3-2 W	0-0 D
CE Manresa	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: UE Cornella (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Badalona

LWWLLWWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
03/10	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	3-1	2	5	W
27/09	CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5	4-0	4-0	4	8	W
20/09	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-0	4	7	W
12/09	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
05/09	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
10/05	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
03/05	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	–	3-2	–	–	W
26/04	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	1-4	5	3	L

UE Cornella

WDWDWDDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-3	13	7	L
14/10	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-1	8	9	D
11/10	Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
27/09	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
12/09	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	3-1	12	4	W
06/09	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/05	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
10/05	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/05	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	2-1	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Badalona vs UE Cornella?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Badalona win (43%). Probabilities: Badalona 43%, draw 27%, UE Cornella 29%.

How many goals are expected in Badalona vs UE Cornella?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Badalona 1.64 · UE Cornella 1.33), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Badalona vs UE Cornella?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.