Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 31/10, 18:30

Prediction: UE Cornella vs FE Grama

Team pages: UE Cornella · FE Grama

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

UE Cornella1.29

FE Grama0.88

1X2

46% 29% 25%

UE Cornella Draw FE Grama

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

UE Cornella 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWDDLDLW

FE Grama 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWLWDL

Head-to-head

UE Cornella 2–1–1 FE Grama (4 last)

UE Cornella1-1FE Grama
FE Grama0-2UE Cornella
FE Grama1-3UE Cornella
FE Grama3-2UE Cornella

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UE Cornella 1542 · FE Grama 1495

	UE Cornella	Draw	FE Grama
Our model	45%	31%	24%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UE Cornella (rating 1542 vs 1495).
H2H favours UE Cornella: 2-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UE Cornella	FE Grama
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/75/25%	44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.5	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.30

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.40
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.77 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:24 +25’	1.91	3.30	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:18 +75’	1.88	3.35	3.71
16:51 +8’	1.90▲	3.40▲	3.77▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UE Cornella 2–1–1 FE Grama

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Cornella	1-1 HT 0-0	FE Grama
14/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	FE Grama	0-2 HT 0-1	UE Cornella
09/08/25 Europe Friendlies	FE Grama	1-3 HT 0-1	UE Cornella
11/08/24 Europe Friendlies	FE Grama	3-2 HT 3-2	UE Cornella

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CE L'Hospitalet	8	3	5	0	13	9	14
2	Vilanova Geltru	8	3	4	1	10	9	13
3	CF Montanesa	8	4	1	3	11	7	13
4	Pobla Mafumet	8	4	1	3	12	10	13
5	FC Martinenc	8	3	3	2	18	17	12
6	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	8	3	3	2	8	8	12
7	Atletic Lleida	8	3	3	2	10	10	12
8	FE Grama	8	3	2	3	11	5	11
9	CE Europa B	8	3	2	3	14	9	11
10	Badalona	8	3	2	3	13	10	11
11	UE San Juan Montcada	8	3	1	4	10	15	10
12	UE Tona	8	3	1	4	6	9	10
13	UE Cornella	8	2	4	2	12	10	10
14	FC L'Escala	8	2	3	3	9	10	9
15	Peralada	8	1	5	2	9	8	8
16	CFJ Mollerussa	8	2	2	4	7	9	8
17	CP San Cristobal	8	2	2	4	7	19	8
18	UE Vilassar de Mar	8	2	2	4	11	17	8

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UE Cornella	FE Grama
CFJ Mollerussa	1-1 D	2-1 W
Atletic Lleida	2-2 D	0-1 L
Vilanova Geltru	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: UE Cornella (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UE Cornella

DWDWDDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	4-1	1	8	W
18/10	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-3	13	7	L
14/10	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-1	8	9	D
11/10	Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
27/09	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
12/09	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	3-1	12	4	W
06/09	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/05	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
10/05	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

FE Grama

WWWDLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
17/10	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
14/10	CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5	4-0	5-0	2	7	W
11/10	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	7	9	L
27/09	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	3-0	2	8	W
20/09	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
13/09	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	11	3	D
05/09	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
10/05	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
03/05	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UE Cornella vs FE Grama?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UE Cornella win (46%). Probabilities: UE Cornella 46%, draw 29%, FE Grama 25%.

How many goals are expected in UE Cornella vs FE Grama?

The model expects 2.17 goals (UE Cornella 1.29 · FE Grama 0.88), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in UE Cornella vs FE Grama?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.