Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: CP San Cristobal vs CF Montanesa

Team pages: CP San Cristobal · CF Montanesa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

CP San Cristobal1.14

CF Montanesa1.26

1X2

33% 29% 38%

CP San Cristobal Draw CF Montanesa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CP San Cristobal 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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CF Montanesa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLWLD

Head-to-head

CP San Cristobal 1–3–2 CF Montanesa (6 last)

CP San Cristobal0-0CF Montanesa
CF Montanesa2-3CP San Cristobal
CF Montanesa2-0CP San Cristobal
CP San Cristobal1-1CF Montanesa
CF Montanesa2-0CP San Cristobal
CP San Cristobal1-1CF Montanesa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CP San Cristobal 1440 · CF Montanesa 1490

	CP San Cristobal	Draw	CF Montanesa
Our model	32%	30%	38%
Market	33%	28%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CF Montanesa (rating 1440 vs 1490).
H2H favours CF Montanesa: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CP San Cristobal	CF Montanesa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.1	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.9	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.5	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.20

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.69 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:39 +3’	2.70	3.20	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:22 +43’	2.59	2.93	2.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CP San Cristobal 1–3–2 CF Montanesa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	CP San Cristobal	0-0 HT 0-0	CF Montanesa
05/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	2-3 HT 1-0	CP San Cristobal
23/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	2-0 HT 0-0	CP San Cristobal
10/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	CP San Cristobal	1-1 HT 0-0	CF Montanesa
14/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	2-0 HT 1-0	CP San Cristobal
26/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 5	CP San Cristobal	1-1 HT 1-0	CF Montanesa

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CE L'Hospitalet	8	3	5	0	13	9	14
2	Vilanova Geltru	8	3	4	1	10	9	13
3	CF Montanesa	8	4	1	3	11	7	13
4	Pobla Mafumet	8	4	1	3	12	10	13
5	FC Martinenc	8	3	3	2	18	17	12
6	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	8	3	3	2	8	8	12
7	Atletic Lleida	8	3	3	2	10	10	12
8	FE Grama	8	3	2	3	11	5	11
9	CE Europa B	8	3	2	3	14	9	11
10	Badalona	8	3	2	3	13	10	11
11	UE San Juan Montcada	8	3	1	4	10	15	10
12	UE Tona	8	3	1	4	6	9	10
13	UE Cornella	8	2	4	2	12	10	10
14	FC L'Escala	8	2	3	3	9	10	9
15	Peralada	8	1	5	2	9	8	8
16	CFJ Mollerussa	8	2	2	4	7	9	8
17	CP San Cristobal	8	2	2	4	7	19	8
18	UE Vilassar de Mar	8	2	2	4	11	17	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CP San Cristobal	CF Montanesa
FC Martinenc	1-5 L	2-3 L
FC L'Escala	1-1 D	2-0 W
FE Grama	0-5 L	1-0 W
CE Europa B	1-0 W	0-1 L
Badalona	0-4 L	1-0 W
UE San Juan Montcada	2-1 W	3-0 W
Peralada	1-1 D	0-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CF Montanesa (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CP San Cristobal

WLDLWLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	0-3	1-5	3	7	L
18/10	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
14/10	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-4	0-5	2	7	L
11/10	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
27/09	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-4	0-4	3	8	L
20/09	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-1	9	9	W
13/09	Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-2	4	9	L
06/09	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
09/05	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
03/05	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	4-0	3	8	W

CF Montanesa

LLWWWLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	2-2	3	5	D
18/10	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
14/10	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
11/10	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	1-2	2-3	5	3	L
27/09	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	6	9	L
20/09	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
12/09	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
06/09	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	3-0	4	8	W
10/05	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-5	–	–	L
03/05	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CP San Cristobal vs CF Montanesa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CF Montanesa win (38%). Probabilities: CP San Cristobal 33%, draw 29%, CF Montanesa 38%.

How many goals are expected in CP San Cristobal vs CF Montanesa?

The model expects 2.4 goals (CP San Cristobal 1.14 · CF Montanesa 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CP San Cristobal vs CF Montanesa?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.