Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 25/10, 12:00
Prediction: CE Europa B vs Vilanova Geltru
Team pages: CE Europa B · Vilanova Geltru
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
CE Europa B1.07
Vilanova Geltru1.21
1X2
CE Europa B
Draw
Vilanova Geltru
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CE Europa B
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Vilanova Geltru
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CE Europa B
0–2
Vilanova Geltru
(2 last)
- Vilanova Geltru3-0CE Europa B
- CE Europa B1-2Vilanova Geltru
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CE Europa B 1460 · Vilanova Geltru 1554
| CE Europa B | Draw | Vilanova Geltru | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vilanova Geltru (rating 1460 vs 1554).
- H2H favours Vilanova Geltru: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CE Europa B | Vilanova Geltru | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CE Europa B 0–0–2 Vilanova Geltru
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Vilanova Geltru | 3-0 HT 3-0 | CE Europa B |
| 21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CE Europa B | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Vilanova Geltru |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CE L'Hospitalet | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Vilanova Geltru | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | CF Montanesa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | FE Grama | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Badalona | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Pobla Mafumet | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | Atletic Lleida | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | UE San Juan Montcada | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Martinenc | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
| 11 | UE Tona | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | CP San Cristobal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| 13 | FC L'Escala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Peralada | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 15 | CFJ Mollerussa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | CE Europa B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 17 | UE Cornella | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 18 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CE Europa B | Vilanova Geltru |
|---|---|---|
| CFJ Mollerussa | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| UE Cornella | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CE Europa B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
3-1 | 6-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
Vilanova Geltru
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 19/09 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CE Europa B vs Vilanova Geltru?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vilanova Geltru win (38%). Probabilities: CE Europa B 31%, draw 30%, Vilanova Geltru 38%.
How many goals are expected in CE Europa B vs Vilanova Geltru?
The model expects 2.28 goals (CE Europa B 1.07 · Vilanova Geltru 1.21), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CE Europa B vs Vilanova Geltru?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.