Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs UE Vilassar de Mar

Team pages: Cerdanyola del Valles FC · UE Vilassar de Mar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Cerdanyola del Valles FC1.33

UE Vilassar de Mar1.25

1X2

38% 28% 34%

Cerdanyola del Valles FC Draw UE Vilassar de Mar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cerdanyola del Valles FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLWDLDWW

UE Vilassar de Mar 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLDWD

Head-to-head

Cerdanyola del Valles FC 3–1–2 UE Vilassar de Mar (6 last)

Cerdanyola del Valles FC1-0UE Vilassar de Mar
UE Vilassar de Mar1-3Cerdanyola del Valles FC
UE Vilassar de Mar1-0Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Cerdanyola del Valles FC0-2UE Vilassar de Mar
Cerdanyola del Valles FC3-2UE Vilassar de Mar
Cerdanyola del Valles FC2-2UE Vilassar de Mar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 1550 · UE Vilassar de Mar 1463

	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	Draw	UE Vilassar de Mar
Our model	38%	29%	34%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cerdanyola del Valles FC (rating 1550 vs 1463).
H2H favours Cerdanyola del Valles FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	UE Vilassar de Mar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	29/14/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 3.4	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.20

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.21
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 3.18 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
13:39 +3’	2.35	3.20	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:22 +42’	2.11	3.21	3.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 3–1–2 UE Vilassar de Mar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	1-0 HT 0-0	UE Vilassar de Mar
11/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Vilassar de Mar	1-3 HT 0-1	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
09/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Vilassar de Mar	1-0 HT 0-0	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
27/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	0-2 HT 0-1	UE Vilassar de Mar
23/05/21 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	3-2 HT 2-0	UE Vilassar de Mar
03/03/21 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	2-2 HT 0-1	UE Vilassar de Mar

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CE L'Hospitalet	8	3	5	0	13	9	14
2	Vilanova Geltru	8	3	4	1	10	9	13
3	CF Montanesa	8	4	1	3	11	7	13
4	Pobla Mafumet	8	4	1	3	12	10	13
5	FC Martinenc	8	3	3	2	18	17	12
6	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	8	3	3	2	8	8	12
7	Atletic Lleida	8	3	3	2	10	10	12
8	FE Grama	8	3	2	3	11	5	11
9	CE Europa B	8	3	2	3	14	9	11
10	Badalona	8	3	2	3	13	10	11
11	UE San Juan Montcada	8	3	1	4	10	15	10
12	UE Tona	8	3	1	4	6	9	10
13	UE Cornella	8	2	4	2	12	10	10
14	FC L'Escala	8	2	3	3	9	10	9
15	Peralada	8	1	5	2	9	8	8
16	CFJ Mollerussa	8	2	2	4	7	9	8
17	CP San Cristobal	8	2	2	4	7	19	8
18	UE Vilassar de Mar	8	2	2	4	11	17	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	UE Vilassar de Mar
CF Montanesa	1-0 W	2-2 D
FC Martinenc	2-2 D	4-0 W
FC L'Escala	1-0 W	2-2 D
CE Europa B	0-0 D	1-6 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cerdanyola del Valles FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cerdanyola del Valles FC

DWDLWDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/10	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
14/10	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
27/09	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
20/09	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
12/09	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
10/05	CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
03/05	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-2	2	1	D

UE Vilassar de Mar

WLWLLLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-2	5	5	D
18/10	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	4-0	1	9	W
10/10	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
04/10	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	1-3	1-6	5	3	L
27/09	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-3	4	8	L
20/09	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	0-2	5	7	L
12/09	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	1-2	1	7	L
05/09	Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
03/05	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs UE Vilassar de Mar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerdanyola del Valles FC win (38%). Probabilities: Cerdanyola del Valles FC 38%, draw 28%, UE Vilassar de Mar 34%.

How many goals are expected in Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs UE Vilassar de Mar?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Cerdanyola del Valles FC 1.33 · UE Vilassar de Mar 1.25), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs UE Vilassar de Mar?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.