Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 01/11, 12:00
Prediction: CE L'Hospitalet vs Badalona
Team pages: CE L'Hospitalet · Badalona
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
CE L'Hospitalet1.39
Badalona1.32
1X2
CE L'Hospitalet
Draw
Badalona
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CE L'Hospitalet
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Badalona
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CE L'Hospitalet
1–2–3
Badalona
(6 last)
- CE L'Hospitalet2-2Badalona
- Badalona1-3CE L'Hospitalet
- CE L'Hospitalet0-2Badalona
- Badalona3-2CE L'Hospitalet
- CE L'Hospitalet0-0Badalona
- Badalona2-0CE L'Hospitalet
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CE L'Hospitalet 1540 · Badalona 1521
| CE L'Hospitalet | Draw | Badalona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Badalona: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CE L'Hospitalet | Badalona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/43/14% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.1 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CE L'Hospitalet 1–2–3 Badalona
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Europe Friendlies | CE L'Hospitalet | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Badalona |
| 24/05/26 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs | Badalona | 1-3 HT 1-1 | CE L'Hospitalet |
| 17/05/26 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs | CE L'Hospitalet | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Badalona |
| 03/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Badalona | 3-2 | CE L'Hospitalet |
| 04/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CE L'Hospitalet | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Badalona |
| 16/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Badalona | 2-0 HT 2-0 | CE L'Hospitalet |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CE L'Hospitalet | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Vilanova Geltru | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | CF Montanesa | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Pobla Mafumet | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Martinenc | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletic Lleida | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | FE Grama | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 11 |
| 9 | CE Europa B | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | Badalona | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | UE San Juan Montcada | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 12 | UE Tona | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | UE Cornella | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | FC L'Escala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Peralada | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | CFJ Mollerussa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 17 | CP San Cristobal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 8 |
| 18 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CE L'Hospitalet | Badalona |
|---|---|---|
| UE Cornella | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Atletic Lleida | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Vilanova Geltru | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CE L'Hospitalet (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CE L'Hospitalet
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 14/10 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Badalona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 18/10 | Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
4-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CE L'Hospitalet vs Badalona?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CE L'Hospitalet win (38%). Probabilities: CE L'Hospitalet 38%, draw 28%, Badalona 35%.
How many goals are expected in CE L'Hospitalet vs Badalona?
The model expects 2.71 goals (CE L'Hospitalet 1.39 · Badalona 1.32), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CE L'Hospitalet vs Badalona?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.