Football · Uruguay Clausura · 15/08, 00:00
Prediction: Boston River vs Danubio
Team pages: Boston River · Danubio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Boston River1.25
Danubio0.75
1X2
Boston River
Draw
Danubio
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Boston River
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Danubio
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boston River
2–2–2
Danubio
(6 last)
- Danubio2-0Boston River
- Boston River1-0Danubio
- Boston River0-0Danubio
- Boston River1-1Danubio
- Danubio1-2Boston River
- Danubio2-0Boston River
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boston River | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 0.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston River 2–2–2 Danubio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Boston River |
| 12/01/26 Uruguay Copa de la Liga | Boston River | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 18/10/25 Uruguay Clausura | Boston River | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 14/06/25 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Boston River | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Danubio |
| 18/04/25 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Boston River |
| 08/09/24 Uruguay Clausura | Danubio | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Boston River |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boston River | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Cerro | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Boston River (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boston River
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Penarol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 12/07 | Central Espanol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 27/05 | Sao Paulo Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | O'Higgins Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Cerro Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Apertura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Torque Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 09/05 | Albion FC Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boston River vs Danubio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boston River win (47%). Probabilities: Boston River 47%, draw 32%, Danubio 21%.
How many goals are expected in Boston River vs Danubio?
The model expects 2 goals (Boston River 1.25 · Danubio 0.75), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boston River vs Danubio?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.