Prediction: Torque vs Montevideo Wanderers
Team pages: Torque · Montevideo Wanderers
- Torque0-2Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers0-4Torque
- Torque2-2Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers0-0Torque
- Montevideo Wanderers2-1Torque
- Montevideo Wanderers1-1Torque
| Torque | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torque (rating 1572 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Montevideo Wanderers: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Torque | Montevideo Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.7 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.3 | 6.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Torque 1–3–2 Montevideo Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Torque | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 22/02/26 Uruguay Apertura | Montevideo Wanderers | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Torque |
| 12/10/25 Uruguay Clausura | Torque | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 12/04/25 Uruguay Apertura | Montevideo Wanderers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Torque |
| 02/09/23 Uruguay Clausura | Montevideo Wanderers | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Torque |
| 16/07/23 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Montevideo Wanderers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Torque |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Torque | Montevideo Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Club Atletico Progreso | 5-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Defensor Sporting | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Cerro | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Cerro Largo | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Torque (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Torque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/11 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/11 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 12/10 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 04/10 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 28/09 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Montevideo Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/11 | CA River Plate Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 01/11 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 26/10 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/10 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 07/10 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 12 | L |
| 21/09 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torque vs Montevideo Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Torque win (47%). Probabilities: Torque 47%, draw 27%, Montevideo Wanderers 26%.
How many goals are expected in Torque vs Montevideo Wanderers?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Torque 1.7 · Montevideo Wanderers 1.23), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Torque vs Montevideo Wanderers?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.