Football · Uruguay Clausura · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Central Espanol vs Juventud De Las Piedras
Team pages: Central Espanol · Juventud De Las Piedras
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.87Total
Central Espanol0.86
Juventud De Las Piedras1.01
1X2
Central Espanol
Draw
Juventud De Las Piedras
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Central Espanol
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Juventud De Las Piedras
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Espanol
2–4–0
Juventud De Las Piedras
(6 last)
- Juventud De Las Piedras0-1Central Espanol
- Juventud De Las Piedras0-1Central Espanol
- Central Espanol0-0Juventud De Las Piedras
- Central Espanol1-1Juventud De Las Piedras
- Juventud De Las Piedras1-1Central Espanol
- Juventud De Las Piedras0-0Central Espanol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Espanol 1536 · Juventud De Las Piedras 1470
| Central Espanol | Draw | Juventud De Las Piedras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 35% | 37% |
| Market | 31% | 30% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Central Espanol (rating 1536 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Central Espanol: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Espanol | Juventud De Las Piedras | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.6 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.8 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Espanol 2–4–0 Juventud De Las Piedras
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Uruguay Apertura | Juventud De Las Piedras | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Central Espanol |
| 03/09/22 Uruguay Segunda | Juventud De Las Piedras | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Central Espanol |
| 11/06/22 Uruguay Segunda | Central Espanol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Juventud De Las Piedras |
| 10/11/21 Uruguay Segunda | Central Espanol | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Juventud De Las Piedras |
| 29/07/21 Uruguay Segunda | Juventud De Las Piedras | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Central Espanol |
| 24/11/20 Uruguay Segunda | Juventud De Las Piedras | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Central Espanol |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 25/07 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Boston River Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 02/06 | Penarol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Cerro Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Boston River Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Juventud De Las Piedras
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/07 | Albion FC Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/07 | Torque Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | Danubio Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 2-5 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 28/05 | Cienciano Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Espanol vs Juventud De Las Piedras?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventud De Las Piedras win (38%). Probabilities: Central Espanol 30%, draw 32%, Juventud De Las Piedras 38%.
How many goals are expected in Central Espanol vs Juventud De Las Piedras?
The model expects 1.87 goals (Central Espanol 0.86 · Juventud De Las Piedras 1.01), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Espanol vs Juventud De Las Piedras?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.