Football · Uruguay Clausura · 15/08, 23:30
Prediction: Racing Club de Montevideo vs Nacional De Football
Team pages: Racing Club de Montevideo · Nacional De Football
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Racing Club de Montevideo0.82
Nacional De Football1.25
1X2
Racing Club de Montevideo
Draw
Nacional De Football
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club de Montevideo
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Nacional De Football
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing Club de Montevideo
0–1–5
Nacional De Football
(6 last)
- Nacional De Football1-1Racing Club de Montevideo
- Nacional De Football3-0Racing Club de Montevideo
- Racing Club de Montevideo1-2Nacional De Football
- Racing Club de Montevideo0-1Nacional De Football
- Racing Club de Montevideo0-2Nacional De Football
- Nacional De Football4-2Racing Club de Montevideo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club de Montevideo 1486 · Nacional De Football 1513
| Racing Club de Montevideo | Draw | Nacional De Football | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 32% | 45% |
| Market | 24% | 30% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nacional De Football: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club de Montevideo | Nacional De Football | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.5 | 3 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.5 | 5.6 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club de Montevideo 0–1–5 Nacional De Football
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Uruguay Apertura | Nacional De Football | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Racing Club de Montevideo |
| 07/09/25 Uruguay Clausura | Nacional De Football | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Racing Club de Montevideo |
| 14/06/25 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Racing Club de Montevideo | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Nacional De Football |
| 16/03/25 Uruguay Apertura | Racing Club de Montevideo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nacional De Football |
| 09/11/24 Uruguay Clausura | Racing Club de Montevideo | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nacional De Football |
| 04/05/24 Uruguay Apertura | Nacional De Football | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Racing Club de Montevideo |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club de Montevideo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Boston River Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Cerro Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Penarol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/06 | Central Espanol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Central Espanol Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Torque Uruguay Apertura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Nacional De Football
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 29/07 | CA Tigre Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/07 | CA Tigre Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Danubio Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | Coquimbo Unido Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Albion FC Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club de Montevideo vs Nacional De Football?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nacional De Football win (46%). Probabilities: Racing Club de Montevideo 24%, draw 31%, Nacional De Football 46%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club de Montevideo vs Nacional De Football?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Racing Club de Montevideo 0.82 · Nacional De Football 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club de Montevideo vs Nacional De Football?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.