Prediction: London City Lionesses (W) vs Everton (W)

Team pages: London City Lionesses (W) · Everton (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
London City Lionesses (W)1.92
Everton (W)0.77
1X2
65% 21% 14%
London City Lionesses (W) Draw Everton (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
London City Lionesses (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDDWLWWLWW
Everton (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLLWLWLW
Head-to-head
London City Lionesses (W) 1–1 Everton (W) (2 last)
  • London City Lionesses (W)0-1Everton (W)
  • Everton (W)1-2London City Lionesses (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · London City Lionesses (W) 1571 · Everton (W) 1522
London City Lionesses (W)DrawEverton (W)
Our model63%23%13%
Market65%19%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours London City Lionesses (W) (rating 1571 vs 1522).
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

London City Lionesses (W)Everton (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.21 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/0/50%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 5.91.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 02.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · London City Lionesses (W) 1–0–1 Everton (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/02/26
England Super League Women
London City Lionesses (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Everton (W)
19/09/25
England Super League Women
Everton (W)1-2
HT 0-1
London City Lionesses (W)

Standings · England Super League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Man City (W) 5500 16615
2 Chelsea (W) 5410 12113
3 London City Lionesses (W) 5401 15512
4 Tottenham (W) 5311 16810
5 Everton (W) 5302 449
6 Liverpool (W) 5212 967
7 Man Utd (W) 5212 597
8 Arsenal (W) 6132 576
9 Crystal Palace (W) 5131 5116
10 Brighton (W) 5122 875
11 Birmingham (W) 6033 8133
12 West Ham (W) 5104 4103
13 Aston Villa (W) 5032 4113
14 Charlton (W) 5005 2150

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLondon City Lionesses (W)Everton (W)
Tottenham (W) 6-1 W 2-1 W
Man Utd (W) 2-1 W 1-2 L
Leicester (W) 5-1 W 1-0 W
Chelsea (W) 1-1 D 1-4 L
Arsenal (W) 0-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: London City Lionesses (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

London City Lionesses (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Tottenham (W)
England Super League Women
3-0 6-1 21 W
26/09 Brighton (W)
England Super League Women
1-0 2-0 85 W
12/09 West Ham (W)
England Super League Women
0-1 1-2 52 L
04/09 Man Utd (W)
England Super League Women
1-0 2-1 92 W
16/05 Aston Villa (W)
England Super League Women
0-1 2-1 92 W
03/05 Tottenham (W)
England Super League Women
0-2 1-2 41 L
26/04 Leicester (W)
England Super League Women
2-1 5-1 100 W
29/03 West Ham (W)
England Super League Women
1-0 1-1 11 D
21/03 Chelsea (W)
England Super League Women
0-1 1-1 104 D
15/03 Arsenal (W)
England Super League Women
0-1 0-2 17 L

Everton (W)

WLLLLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Birmingham (W)
England Super League Women
1-1 2-1 61 W
27/09 Liverpool (W)
England Super League Women
0-1 0-2 31 L
13/09 Charlton (W)
England Super League Women
0-0 1-0 93 W
06/09 Crystal Palace (W)
England Super League Women
0-1 0-1 65 L
16/05 Leicester (W)
England Super League Women
0-0 1-0 102 W
13/05 Arsenal (W)
England Super League Women
0-0 0-1 32 L
26/04 Chelsea (W)
England Super League Women
1-1 1-4 22 L
28/03 Liverpool (W)
England Super League Women
0-3 2-3 86 L
21/03 Man Utd (W)
England Super League Women
0-1 1-2 34 L
15/03 Tottenham (W)
England Super League Women
1-0 2-1 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in London City Lionesses (W) vs Everton (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a London City Lionesses (W) win (65%). Probabilities: London City Lionesses (W) 65%, draw 21%, Everton (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in London City Lionesses (W) vs Everton (W)?

The model expects 2.69 goals (London City Lionesses (W) 1.92 · Everton (W) 0.77), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in London City Lionesses (W) vs Everton (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.