Football · England Super League Women · 25/10, 15:00
Prediction: Liverpool (W) vs London City Lionesses (W)
Team pages: Liverpool (W) · London City Lionesses (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Liverpool (W)1.06
London City Lionesses (W)1.88
1X2
Liverpool (W)
Draw
London City Lionesses (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Liverpool (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
London City Lionesses (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Liverpool (W)
1–3–2
London City Lionesses (W)
(6 last)
- Liverpool (W)0-0London City Lionesses (W)
- London City Lionesses (W)1-0Liverpool (W)
- London City Lionesses (W)0-2Liverpool (W)
- London City Lionesses (W)1-1Liverpool (W)
- Liverpool (W)0-1London City Lionesses (W)
- Liverpool (W)2-2London City Lionesses (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liverpool (W) 1486 · London City Lionesses (W) 1610
| Liverpool (W) | Draw | London City Lionesses (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 25% | 55% |
| Market | 21% | 23% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours London City Lionesses (W) (rating 1486 vs 1610).
- H2H favours London City Lionesses (W): 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Liverpool (W) | London City Lionesses (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 2.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.7 | 1.9 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liverpool (W) 1–3–2 London City Lionesses (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | London City Lionesses (W) |
| 05/10/25 England Super League Women | London City Lionesses (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Liverpool (W) |
| 11/02/24 England FA Cup Women | London City Lionesses (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Liverpool (W) |
| 06/03/22 England Championship Women | London City Lionesses (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Liverpool (W) |
| 29/08/21 England Championship Women | Liverpool (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | London City Lionesses (W) |
| 02/05/21 England Championship Women | Liverpool (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | London City Lionesses (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City (W) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Chelsea (W) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Tottenham (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 10 |
| 5 | Man Utd (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Everton (W) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Liverpool (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Arsenal (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | West Ham (W) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Brighton (W) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Birmingham (W) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Liverpool (W) | London City Lionesses (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (W) | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Man Utd (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Everton (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Tottenham (W) | 1-1 D | 6-1 W |
| West Ham (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Brighton (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: London City Lionesses (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liverpool (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 03/10 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
London City Lionesses (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
3-0 | 6-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 29/03 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 21/03 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liverpool (W) vs London City Lionesses (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an London City Lionesses (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Liverpool (W) 20%, draw 24%, London City Lionesses (W) 56%.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool (W) vs London City Lionesses (W)?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Liverpool (W) 1.06 · London City Lionesses (W) 1.88), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool (W) vs London City Lionesses (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.