Football · England Super League Women · 24/10, 18:15
Prediction: Brighton (W) vs West Ham (W)
Team pages: Brighton (W) · West Ham (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Brighton (W)2.23
West Ham (W)0.87
1X2
Brighton (W)
Draw
West Ham (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Brighton (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
West Ham (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brighton (W)
3–3
West Ham (W)
(6 last)
- West Ham (W)1-2Brighton (W)
- West Ham (W)3-2Brighton (W)
- West Ham (W)2-1Brighton (W)
- Brighton (W)4-1West Ham (W)
- West Ham (W)3-1Brighton (W)
- Brighton (W)3-2West Ham (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brighton (W) 1483 · West Ham (W) 1469
| Brighton (W) | Draw | West Ham (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 20% | 12% |
| Market | 68% | 19% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brighton (W) | West Ham (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 1.4 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brighton (W) 3–0–3 West Ham (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 England FA Cup Women | West Ham (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Brighton (W) |
| 08/02/26 England Super League Women | West Ham (W) | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Brighton (W) |
| 08/10/25 England League Cup Women | West Ham (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Brighton (W) |
| 21/09/25 England Super League Women | Brighton (W) | 4-1 HT 2-0 | West Ham (W) |
| 16/02/25 England Super League Women | West Ham (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Brighton (W) |
| 16/11/24 England Super League Women | Brighton (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | West Ham (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City (W) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Chelsea (W) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Tottenham (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 10 |
| 5 | Man Utd (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Everton (W) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Liverpool (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Arsenal (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | West Ham (W) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Brighton (W) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Birmingham (W) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brighton (W) | West Ham (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Man City (W) | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| London City Lionesses (W) | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Arsenal (W) | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Tottenham (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Man Utd (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Brighton (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brighton (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
West Ham (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 04/05 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 21/03 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brighton (W) vs West Ham (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brighton (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Brighton (W) 68%, draw 19%, West Ham (W) 13%.
How many goals are expected in Brighton (W) vs West Ham (W)?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Brighton (W) 2.23 · West Ham (W) 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Brighton (W) vs West Ham (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.