Football · England Super League Women · 25/10, 15:00
Prediction: Everton (W) vs Aston Villa (W)
Team pages: Everton (W) · Aston Villa (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Everton (W)1.62
Aston Villa (W)1.17
1X2
Everton (W)
Draw
Aston Villa (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Everton (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Aston Villa (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Everton (W)
2–2–2
Aston Villa (W)
(6 last)
- Everton (W)2-1Aston Villa (W)
- Aston Villa (W)3-3Everton (W)
- Aston Villa (W)0-2Everton (W)
- Everton (W)1-1Aston Villa (W)
- Everton (W)1-3Aston Villa (W)
- Everton (W)1-2Aston Villa (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Everton (W) 1513 · Aston Villa (W) 1496
| Everton (W) | Draw | Aston Villa (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Everton (W) | Aston Villa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.3 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Everton (W) 2–2–2 Aston Villa (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 England Super League Women | Everton (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 02/11/25 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Everton (W) |
| 02/03/25 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Everton (W) |
| 18/01/25 England Super League Women | Everton (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 08/09/24 Women’s Friendly | Everton (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 16/03/24 England Super League Women | Everton (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City (W) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Chelsea (W) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Tottenham (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 10 |
| 5 | Man Utd (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Everton (W) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Liverpool (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Arsenal (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | West Ham (W) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Brighton (W) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Birmingham (W) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Everton (W) | Aston Villa (W) |
|---|---|---|
| London City Lionesses (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Liverpool (W) | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Crystal Palace (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Leicester (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Arsenal (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Chelsea (W) | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aston Villa (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Everton (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/03 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Aston Villa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/10 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 27/09 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/05 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Everton (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Everton (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Everton (W) 47%, draw 27%, Aston Villa (W) 27%.
How many goals are expected in Everton (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Everton (W) 1.62 · Aston Villa (W) 1.17), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.