Football · England Super League Women · 01/11, 15:00
Prediction: West Ham (W) vs Liverpool (W)
Team pages: West Ham (W) · Liverpool (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
West Ham (W)1.27
Liverpool (W)1.64
1X2
West Ham (W)
Draw
Liverpool (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
West Ham (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Liverpool (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
West Ham (W)
1–2–3
Liverpool (W)
(6 last)
- Liverpool (W)0-1West Ham (W)
- West Ham (W)2-2Liverpool (W)
- Liverpool (W)1-0West Ham (W)
- West Ham (W)0-5Liverpool (W)
- West Ham (W)1-1Liverpool (W)
- Liverpool (W)3-1West Ham (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · West Ham (W) 1472 · Liverpool (W) 1487
| West Ham (W) | Draw | Liverpool (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Market | 28% | 27% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Liverpool (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| West Ham (W) | Liverpool (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.9 | 2.6 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · West Ham (W) 1–2–3 Liverpool (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | West Ham (W) |
| 14/12/25 England Super League Women | West Ham (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Liverpool (W) |
| 02/02/25 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | West Ham (W) |
| 29/01/25 England FA Cup Women | West Ham (W) | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Liverpool (W) |
| 29/09/24 England Super League Women | West Ham (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Liverpool (W) |
| 17/03/24 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | West Ham (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea (W) | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | Man City (W) | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Man Utd (W) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 5 | Tottenham (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 10 |
| 6 | Arsenal (W) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton (W) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Aston Villa (W) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 9 | Brighton (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | Liverpool (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Birmingham (W) | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | West Ham (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace (W) | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | West Ham (W) | Liverpool (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Man Utd (W) | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| London City Lionesses (W) | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Tottenham (W) | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Man City (W) | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Aston Villa (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
West Ham (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/10 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 04/05 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Liverpool (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 03/10 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in West Ham (W) vs Liverpool (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Liverpool (W) win (45%). Probabilities: West Ham (W) 28%, draw 27%, Liverpool (W) 45%.
How many goals are expected in West Ham (W) vs Liverpool (W)?
The model expects 2.91 goals (West Ham (W) 1.27 · Liverpool (W) 1.64), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in West Ham (W) vs Liverpool (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.