Football · England Super League Women · 01/11, 13:00
Prediction: Arsenal (W) vs Aston Villa (W)
Team pages: Arsenal (W) · Aston Villa (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Arsenal (W)2.06
Aston Villa (W)1.29
1X2
Arsenal (W)
Draw
Aston Villa (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Arsenal (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Aston Villa (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arsenal (W)
4–1–1
Aston Villa (W)
(6 last)
- Aston Villa (W)0-3Arsenal (W)
- Arsenal (W)2-0Aston Villa (W)
- Arsenal (W)1-1Aston Villa (W)
- Aston Villa (W)5-2Arsenal (W)
- Arsenal (W)4-0Aston Villa (W)
- Aston Villa (W)1-3Arsenal (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arsenal (W) (rating 1567 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Arsenal (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arsenal (W) | Aston Villa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 8.1 | 1.1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 1.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal (W) 4–1–1 Aston Villa (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Arsenal (W) |
| 18/01/26 England FA Cup Women | Arsenal (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 27/09/25 England Super League Women | Arsenal (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 30/04/25 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Arsenal (W) |
| 08/12/24 England Super League Women | Arsenal (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 24/03/24 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Arsenal (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea (W) | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | Man City (W) | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Man Utd (W) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 5 | Tottenham (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 10 |
| 6 | Arsenal (W) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton (W) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Aston Villa (W) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 9 | Brighton (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | Liverpool (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Birmingham (W) | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | West Ham (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace (W) | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arsenal (W) | Aston Villa (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Tottenham (W) | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Man City (W) | 2-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Chelsea (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Crystal Palace (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Liverpool (W) | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Everton (W) | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Arsenal (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arsenal (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
Aston Villa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/10 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 27/09 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/05 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arsenal (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arsenal (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Arsenal (W) 54%, draw 23%, Aston Villa (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Arsenal (W) 2.06 · Aston Villa (W) 1.29), with a 60% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arsenal (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.