Football · England Super League Women · 01/11, 13:00

Prediction: London City Lionesses (W) vs Man City (W)

Team pages: London City Lionesses (W) · Man City (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
London City Lionesses (W)1.5
Man City (W)1.76
1X2
32% 25% 43%
London City Lionesses (W) Draw Man City (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
London City Lionesses (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWWLWWWD
Man City (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
London City Lionesses (W) 0–2 Man City (W) (2 last)
  • London City Lionesses (W)1-2Man City (W)
  • Man City (W)4-1London City Lionesses (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · London City Lionesses (W) 1595 · Man City (W) 1610
London City Lionesses (W)DrawMan City (W)
Our model32%25%43%
Market32%25%43%
Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Man City (W): 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 13.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

London City Lionesses (W)Man City (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.22.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.61.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/0/30%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.53.4 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.8 / 01.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · London City Lionesses (W) 0–0–2 Man City (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/01/26
England Super League Women
London City Lionesses (W)1-2
HT 0-1
Man City (W)
28/09/25
England Super League Women
Man City (W)4-1
HT 2-1
London City Lionesses (W)

Standings · England Super League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelsea (W) 7610 21419
2 Man City (W) 7610 20919
3 London City Lionesses (W) 7511 19816
4 Man Utd (W) 7322 91111
5 Tottenham (W) 7313 191610
6 Arsenal (W) 7232 789
7 Everton (W) 7304 799
8 Aston Villa (W) 7232 9149
9 Brighton (W) 7223 13108
10 Liverpool (W) 7223 12108
11 Birmingham (W) 7133 9136
12 West Ham (W) 7205 5136
13 Crystal Palace (W) 7133 6156
14 Charlton (W) 7007 3190

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLondon City Lionesses (W)Man City (W)
Liverpool (W) 2-2 D 1-0 W
Brighton (W) 2-0 W 3-2 W
West Ham (W) 1-2 L 4-1 W
Man Utd (W) 2-1 W 1-1 D
Aston Villa (W) 2-1 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Man City (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

London City Lionesses (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Liverpool (W)
England Super League Women
2-1 2-2 33 D
18/10 Everton (W)
England Super League Women
2-0 2-1 41 W
04/10 Tottenham (W)
England Super League Women
3-0 6-1 21 W
26/09 Brighton (W)
England Super League Women
1-0 2-0 85 W
12/09 West Ham (W)
England Super League Women
0-1 1-2 52 L
04/09 Man Utd (W)
England Super League Women
1-0 2-1 92 W
16/05 Aston Villa (W)
England Super League Women
0-1 2-1 92 W
03/05 Tottenham (W)
England Super League Women
0-2 1-2 41 L
26/04 Leicester (W)
England Super League Women
2-1 5-1 100 W
29/03 West Ham (W)
England Super League Women
1-0 1-1 11 D

Man City (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Man Utd (W)
England Super League Women
0-0 1-1 74 D
18/10 Brighton (W)
England Super League Women
3-2 3-2 81 W
04/10 Arsenal (W)
England Super League Women
1-1 4-2 31 W
26/09 Charlton (W)
England Super League Women
1-0 1-0 111 W
13/09 Aston Villa (W)
England Super League Women
2-1 4-1 80 W
06/09 Birmingham (W)
England Super League Women
0-0 3-1 92 W
16/05 West Ham (W)
England Super League Women
1-0 4-1 91 W
03/05 Liverpool (W)
England Super League Women
0-0 1-0 114 W
25/04 Brighton (W)
England Super League Women
1-1 2-3 53 L
28/03 Man Utd (W)
England Super League Women
2-0 3-0 71 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in London City Lionesses (W) vs Man City (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Man City (W) win (43%). Probabilities: London City Lionesses (W) 32%, draw 25%, Man City (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in London City Lionesses (W) vs Man City (W)?

The model expects 3.26 goals (London City Lionesses (W) 1.5 · Man City (W) 1.76), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in London City Lionesses (W) vs Man City (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.