Football · England Super League Women · 31/10, 13:45
Prediction: Everton (W) vs Man Utd (W)
Team pages: Everton (W) · Man Utd (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Everton (W)1.15
Man Utd (W)1.66
1X2
Everton (W)
Draw
Man Utd (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Everton (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Man Utd (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Everton (W)
0–6
Man Utd (W)
(6 last)
- Man Utd (W)2-1Everton (W)
- Everton (W)1-4Man Utd (W)
- Man Utd (W)2-0Everton (W)
- Everton (W)0-2Man Utd (W)
- Everton (W)0-1Man Utd (W)
- Man Utd (W)4-1Everton (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Everton (W) 1498 · Man Utd (W) 1565
| Everton (W) | Draw | Man Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man Utd (W) (rating 1498 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Man Utd (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Everton (W) | Man Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.3 | 1.5 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Everton (W) 0–0–6 Man Utd (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 England Super League Women | Man Utd (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Everton (W) |
| 12/10/25 England Super League Women | Everton (W) | 1-4 HT 1-0 | Man Utd (W) |
| 30/03/25 England Super League Women | Man Utd (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Everton (W) |
| 20/11/24 England League Cup Women | Everton (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Man Utd (W) |
| 29/09/24 England Super League Women | Everton (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Man Utd (W) |
| 31/03/24 England Super League Women | Man Utd (W) | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Everton (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea (W) | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | Man City (W) | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Man Utd (W) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 5 | Tottenham (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 10 |
| 6 | Arsenal (W) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton (W) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Aston Villa (W) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 9 | Brighton (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | Liverpool (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Birmingham (W) | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | West Ham (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace (W) | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Everton (W) | Man Utd (W) |
|---|---|---|
| London City Lionesses (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Liverpool (W) | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Charlton (W) | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Chelsea (W) | 1-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Man Utd (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Everton (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/10 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
Man Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Everton (W) vs Man Utd (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Man Utd (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Everton (W) 25%, draw 26%, Man Utd (W) 48%.
How many goals are expected in Everton (W) vs Man Utd (W)?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Everton (W) 1.15 · Man Utd (W) 1.66), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton (W) vs Man Utd (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.