Football · Uruguay Clausura · 16/08, 23:30
Prediction: Penarol vs Central Espanol
Team pages: Penarol · Central Espanol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Penarol1.29
Central Espanol0.75
1X2
Penarol
Draw
Central Espanol
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Penarol
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Central Espanol
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Penarol
0–1–2
Central Espanol
(3 last)
- Penarol0-1Central Espanol
- Central Espanol2-1Penarol
- Penarol0-0Central Espanol
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Central Espanol: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Penarol | Central Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 1.7 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Penarol 0–1–2 Central Espanol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Penarol | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Central Espanol |
| 16/02/26 Uruguay Apertura | Central Espanol | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Penarol |
| 13/01/26 Uruguay Copa de la Liga | Penarol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Central Espanol |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Club de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Penarol | Central Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Boston River | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Racing Club de Montevideo | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Cerro | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Defensor Sporting | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Penarol (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Penarol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
4-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Boston River Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 12/07 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Cerro Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/06 | Central Espanol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 28/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | Corinthians Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Central Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 25/07 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Boston River Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 02/06 | Penarol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Cerro Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Boston River Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Penarol vs Central Espanol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Penarol win (48%). Probabilities: Penarol 48%, draw 32%, Central Espanol 20%.
How many goals are expected in Penarol vs Central Espanol?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Penarol 1.29 · Central Espanol 0.75), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Penarol vs Central Espanol?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.