Football · Bulgaria First League · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv

Team pages: Ludogorets Razgrad · Botev Plovdiv

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Ludogorets Razgrad1.78
Botev Plovdiv0.74
1X2
62% 23% 15%
Ludogorets Razgrad Draw Botev Plovdiv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Ludogorets Razgrad 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DWDWWWLWDW
Botev Plovdiv 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWLWWDLW
Head-to-head
Ludogorets Razgrad 4–1–1 Botev Plovdiv (6 last)
  • Botev Plovdiv2-1Ludogorets Razgrad
  • Ludogorets Razgrad2-1Botev Plovdiv
  • Ludogorets Razgrad0-0Botev Plovdiv
  • Botev Plovdiv2-3Ludogorets Razgrad
  • Botev Plovdiv2-4Ludogorets Razgrad
  • Ludogorets Razgrad3-0Botev Plovdiv
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ludogorets Razgrad 1555 · Botev Plovdiv 1554
Ludogorets RazgradDrawBotev Plovdiv
Our model61%25%14%
Market63%22%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ludogorets Razgrad: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ludogorets RazgradBotev Plovdiv
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.11.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.50.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.31.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.13.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ludogorets Razgrad 411 Botev Plovdiv

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/02/26
Bulgaria First League
Botev Plovdiv2-1
HT 0-0
Ludogorets Razgrad
31/08/25
Bulgaria First League
Ludogorets Razgrad2-1
HT 1-1
Botev Plovdiv
27/02/25
Bulgaria Cup
Ludogorets Razgrad0-0
HT 0-0
Botev Plovdiv
04/02/25
Bulgaria Supercup
Botev Plovdiv2-3
HT 0-0
Ludogorets Razgrad
19/12/24
Bulgaria First League
Botev Plovdiv2-4
HT 1-3
Ludogorets Razgrad
08/12/24
Bulgaria First League
Ludogorets Razgrad3-0
HT 1-0
Botev Plovdiv

Standings · Bulgaria First League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Levski Sofia 4400 9212
2 CSKA 1948 Sofia 4310 9510
3 Ludogorets Razgrad 3300 519
4 Spartak Varna 3210 627
5 Arda Kardzhali 4211 537
5 CSKA Sofia 3210 537
7 Botev Plovdiv 3111 444
8 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4103 253
9 Slavia Sofia 3021 122
10 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 4022 472
11 Botev Vratsa 3012 351
12 Cherno More Varna 3012 151
13 Septemvri Sofia 3012 261
14 Dunav Ruse 4004 280

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLudogorets RazgradBotev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 W 1-2 L
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 7-4 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ludogorets Razgrad (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ludogorets Razgrad

DWDWWWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Botev Vratsa
Bulgaria First League
2-0 2-1 33 W
30/07 Hapoel Tel Aviv
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-1 2-2 68 D
27/07 Dunav Ruse
Bulgaria First League
1-0 2-0 51 W
23/07 Hapoel Tel Aviv
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-1 0-2 14 L
18/07 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgaria First League
1-0 1-0 33 W
10/07 Teuta Durres
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 45 W
10/07 Septemvri Sofia
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 05 W
04/07 FC Botosani
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-2 83 D
26/06 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Club Friendly List
5-2 7-4 36 W
29/05 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgaria First League
0-0 0-0 105 D

Botev Plovdiv

LWWWLWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Cherno More Varna
Bulgaria First League
1-0 1-0 46 W
27/07 CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria First League
1-1 2-3 55 L
20/07 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Bulgaria First League
0-0 0-0 00 D
12/07 Beroe
Club Friendly List
1-0 4-0 W
04/07 Spartak Varna
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 14 W
04/07 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 L
27/06 KF Ballkani
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 20 W
26/06 Arda Kardzhali
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 35 W
23/06 Spartak Pleven
Club Friendly List
2-0 4-0 80 W
25/05 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgaria First League
1-1 1-2 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ludogorets Razgrad win (62%). Probabilities: Ludogorets Razgrad 62%, draw 23%, Botev Plovdiv 15%.

How many goals are expected in Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Ludogorets Razgrad 1.78 · Botev Plovdiv 0.74), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.