Football · Bulgaria First League · 22/08, 17:00
Prediction: Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Sofia
Team pages: Ludogorets Razgrad · Slavia Sofia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Ludogorets Razgrad2.04
Slavia Sofia0.57
1X2
Ludogorets Razgrad
Draw
Slavia Sofia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Ludogorets Razgrad
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Slavia Sofia
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ludogorets Razgrad
4–1–1
Slavia Sofia
(6 last)
- Ludogorets Razgrad1-1Slavia Sofia
- Slavia Sofia0-3Ludogorets Razgrad
- Ludogorets Razgrad2-0Slavia Sofia
- Slavia Sofia0-1Ludogorets Razgrad
- Ludogorets Razgrad2-3Slavia Sofia
- Slavia Sofia0-2Ludogorets Razgrad
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ludogorets Razgrad 1569 · Slavia Sofia 1509
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Slavia Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 20% | 8% |
| Market | 73% | 18% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ludogorets Razgrad (rating 1569 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Ludogorets Razgrad: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Slavia Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ludogorets Razgrad 4–1–1 Slavia Sofia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/25 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Slavia Sofia |
| 09/08/25 Bulgaria First League | Slavia Sofia | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 01/12/24 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Slavia Sofia |
| 18/09/24 Bulgaria First League | Slavia Sofia | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 27/11/23 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Slavia Sofia |
| 02/11/23 Bulgaria First League | Slavia Sofia | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 11 | Botev Vratsa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 12 | Cherno More Varna | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ludogorets Razgrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Hapoel Tel Aviv UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 27/07 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 23/07 | Hapoel Tel Aviv UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/07 | Teuta Durres Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Septemvri Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Botosani Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
Slavia Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Montana Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 7-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | CSM Slatina Club Friendly List |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Montana Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/05 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/05 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Sofia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ludogorets Razgrad win (72%). Probabilities: Ludogorets Razgrad 72%, draw 19%, Slavia Sofia 9%.
How many goals are expected in Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Sofia?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Ludogorets Razgrad 2.04 · Slavia Sofia 0.57), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Sofia?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.