Football · England Super League Women · 18/10, 13:00
Prediction: Chelsea (W) vs Tottenham (W)
Team pages: Chelsea (W) · Tottenham (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Chelsea (W)2.46
Tottenham (W)0.86
1X2
Chelsea (W)
Draw
Tottenham (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Chelsea (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Tottenham (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chelsea (W)
6–0
Tottenham (W)
(6 last)
- Chelsea (W)2-1Tottenham (W)
- Tottenham (W)0-2Chelsea (W)
- Chelsea (W)1-0Tottenham (W)
- Tottenham (W)0-1Chelsea (W)
- Chelsea (W)5-2Tottenham (W)
- Tottenham (W)0-1Chelsea (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chelsea (W) 1668 · Tottenham (W) 1509
| Chelsea (W) | Draw | Tottenham (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| Market | 73% | 15% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelsea (W) (rating 1668 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Chelsea (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chelsea (W) | Tottenham (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 6.9 | 2.9 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chelsea (W) 6–0–0 Tottenham (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 England FA Cup Women | Chelsea (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tottenham (W) |
| 08/02/26 England Super League Women | Tottenham (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Chelsea (W) |
| 12/10/25 England Super League Women | Chelsea (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tottenham (W) |
| 04/05/25 England Super League Women | Tottenham (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chelsea (W) |
| 20/10/24 England Super League Women | Chelsea (W) | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Tottenham (W) |
| 15/05/24 England Super League Women | Tottenham (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chelsea (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Chelsea (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Tottenham (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Man Utd (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 8 | Arsenal (W) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace (W) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 10 | Brighton (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham (W) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 12 | West Ham (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 13 | Aston Villa (W) | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chelsea (W) | Tottenham (W) |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham (W) | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Arsenal (W) | 1-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Man Utd (W) | 5-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Aston Villa (W) | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Everton (W) | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| London City Lionesses (W) | 1-1 D | 1-6 L |
| Brighton (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Chelsea (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chelsea (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
3-3 | 4-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/03 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Tottenham (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-6 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-5 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/03 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chelsea (W) vs Tottenham (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chelsea (W) win (72%). Probabilities: Chelsea (W) 72%, draw 17%, Tottenham (W) 11%.
How many goals are expected in Chelsea (W) vs Tottenham (W)?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Chelsea (W) 2.46 · Tottenham (W) 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chelsea (W) vs Tottenham (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.