Football · Spain Tercera Group 18 · 27/09, 18:00
Prediction: Toledo vs La Solana
Team pages: Toledo · La Solana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Toledo1.85
La Solana0.62
1X2
Toledo
Draw
La Solana
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Toledo
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
La Solana
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Toledo
2–3–1
La Solana
(6 last)
- La Solana0-0Toledo
- Toledo1-0La Solana
- La Solana1-0Toledo
- Toledo1-1La Solana
- La Solana1-2Toledo
- Toledo1-1La Solana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toledo 1518 · La Solana 1462
| Toledo | Draw | La Solana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 23% | 11% |
| Market | 67% | 21% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toledo (rating 1518 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Toledo: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Toledo | La Solana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.8 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.8 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Toledo 2–3–1 La Solana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 18 | La Solana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Toledo |
| 02/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 18 | Toledo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | La Solana |
| 23/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 18 | La Solana | 1-0 | Toledo |
| 05/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 18 | Toledo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | La Solana |
| 19/03/23 Spain Tercera Group 18 | La Solana | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Toledo |
| 20/11/22 Spain Tercera Group 18 | Toledo | 1-1 | La Solana |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 18
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Manchego CR | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Marchamalo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | CD Noblejas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | CD Torrijos | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Villarrobledo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Illescas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Almansa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | CD Villacanas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Toledo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | CD Tarancon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | La Solana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Socuéllamos | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | CD Villa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | AD San Clemente | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 | Villarrubia CF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | CD Quintanar del Rey | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 17 | CD Guadalajara S.A.D B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Huracan Balazote | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Toledo | La Solana |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete B | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Calvo Sotelo | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| AD San Clemente | 4-0 W | 4-0 W |
| CD Villacanas | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Illescas | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| CD Manchego CR | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Toledo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toledo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | CD Noblejas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Villarrubia CF Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | CD Quintanar del Rey Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Albacete B Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | CD Pedroneras Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Calvo Sotelo Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | AD San Clemente Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | CD Villacanas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | Illescas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 02/04 | CD Manchego CR Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
La Solana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | AD San Clemente Spain Tercera Group 18 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Almansa Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | CD Manchego CR Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Calvo Sotelo Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | AD San Clemente Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | CD Villacanas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Illescas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | CD Manchego CR Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/04 | Villarrobledo Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Albacete B Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toledo vs La Solana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Toledo win (67%). Probabilities: Toledo 67%, draw 22%, La Solana 11%.
How many goals are expected in Toledo vs La Solana?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Toledo 1.85 · La Solana 0.62), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Toledo vs La Solana?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.