Football · Spain Tercera Group 18 · 20/09, 12:00

Prediction: Huracan Balazote vs CD Manchego CR

Team pages: Huracan Balazote · CD Manchego CR

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.98Total

Huracan Balazote0.66

CD Manchego CR1.33

1X2

19% 29% 53%

Huracan Balazote Draw CD Manchego CR

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-1 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Huracan Balazote 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWDWLLLLL

CD Manchego CR 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLDDWW

Head-to-head

Huracan Balazote 2–2–2 CD Manchego CR (6 last)

Huracan Balazote0-0CD Manchego CR
CD Manchego CR4-1Huracan Balazote
CD Manchego CR2-1Huracan Balazote
Huracan Balazote2-0CD Manchego CR
CD Manchego CR0-0Huracan Balazote
Huracan Balazote2-0CD Manchego CR

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Huracan Balazote 1453 · CD Manchego CR 1563

	Huracan Balazote	Draw	CD Manchego CR
Our model	17%	31%	52%
Market	20%	26%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Manchego CR (rating 1453 vs 1563).
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Huracan Balazote	CD Manchego CR
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.3	1.1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.9 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	57/43/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	3.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.60

X3.40

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.60 → 4.60	Bet365 4.60
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:53 +24’	4.60	3.40	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Huracan Balazote 2–2–2 CD Manchego CR

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 18	Huracan Balazote	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Manchego CR
09/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 18	CD Manchego CR	4-1 HT 3-0	Huracan Balazote
08/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 18	CD Manchego CR	2-1 HT 1-0	Huracan Balazote
27/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 18	Huracan Balazote	2-0	CD Manchego CR
13/03/22 Spain Tercera Group 18	CD Manchego CR	0-0 HT 0-0	Huracan Balazote
14/11/21 Spain Tercera Group 18	Huracan Balazote	2-0	CD Manchego CR

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 18

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Marchamalo	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	CD Manchego CR	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
3	CD Torrijos	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
4	Toledo	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
5	CD Noblejas	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
6	Illescas	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
7	Almansa	2	1	0	1	5	3	3
8	CD Villacanas	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
9	CD Villa	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
10	AD San Clemente	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
10	Villarrubia CF	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
12	Villarrobledo	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
13	Socuéllamos	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
14	CD Quintanar del Rey	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
15	CD Guadalajara S.A.D B	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
15	CD Tarancon	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
17	La Solana	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
18	Huracan Balazote	2	0	0	2	0	5	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Huracan Balazote	CD Manchego CR
CD Villacanas	0-3 L	2-0 W
CD Tarancon	0-3 L	0-0 D
Illescas	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD Manchego CR (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Huracan Balazote

DWWDWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Marchamalo Spain Tercera Group 18	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
05/09	CD Villacanas Spain Tercera Group 18	–	0-3	–	–	L
09/05	Villarrubia CF Spain Tercera Group 18	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	CD Tarancon Spain Tercera Group 18	–	0-3	–	–	L
26/04	CD Pedroneras Spain Tercera Group 18	–	0-2	–	–	L
19/04	Calvo Sotelo Spain Tercera Group 18	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	AD San Clemente Spain Tercera Group 18	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/04	CD Villacanas Spain Tercera Group 18	0-0	2-0	2	0	W
28/03	Illescas Spain Tercera Group 18	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
22/03	CD Manchego CR Spain Tercera Group 18	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

CD Manchego CR

WLWDWLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CD Villacanas Spain Tercera Group 18	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
05/09	La Solana Spain Tercera Group 18	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
17/05	CD Tarancon Spain Tercera Group 18	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
10/05	Illescas Spain Tercera Group 18	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
03/05	CD Sonseca Spain Tercera Group 18	0-0	0-2	5	8	L
25/04	Villarrobledo Spain Tercera Group 18	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/04	Albacete B Spain Tercera Group 18	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
11/04	La Solana Spain Tercera Group 18	–	2-0	–	–	W
02/04	Toledo Spain Tercera Group 18	–	0-1	–	–	L
28/03	CD Cazalegas Spain Tercera Group 18	3-0	4-1	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Huracan Balazote vs CD Manchego CR?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Manchego CR win (53%). Probabilities: Huracan Balazote 19%, draw 29%, CD Manchego CR 53%.

How many goals are expected in Huracan Balazote vs CD Manchego CR?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Huracan Balazote 0.66 · CD Manchego CR 1.33), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Huracan Balazote vs CD Manchego CR?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.