Football · Spain Tercera Group 18 · 03/10, 19:00
Prediction: La Solana vs Villarrobledo
Team pages: La Solana · Villarrobledo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
La Solana0.99
Villarrobledo1.21
1X2
La Solana
Draw
Villarrobledo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
La Solana
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Villarrobledo
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
La Solana
2–2–2
Villarrobledo
(6 last)
- La Solana1-2Villarrobledo
- Villarrobledo1-3La Solana
- Villarrobledo1-1La Solana
- La Solana0-1Villarrobledo
- La Solana1-0Villarrobledo
- Villarrobledo2-2La Solana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · La Solana 1476 · Villarrobledo 1547
| La Solana | Draw | Villarrobledo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 32% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villarrobledo (rating 1476 vs 1547).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| La Solana | Villarrobledo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/22/44% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5 | 3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · La Solana 2–2–2 Villarrobledo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 18 | La Solana | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Villarrobledo |
| 23/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 18 | Villarrobledo | 1-3 | La Solana |
| 03/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 18 | Villarrobledo | 1-1 | La Solana |
| 15/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 18 | La Solana | 0-1 | Villarrobledo |
| 12/02/23 Spain Tercera Group 18 | La Solana | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Villarrobledo |
| 09/10/22 Spain Tercera Group 18 | Villarrobledo | 2-2 | La Solana |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 18
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Manchego CR | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | CD Torrijos | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Villarrobledo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Illescas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | CD Noblejas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | CD Villacanas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Almansa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Marchamalo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Toledo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | CD Tarancon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | CD Villa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Socuéllamos | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | La Solana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 14 | AD San Clemente | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 14 | Villarrubia CF | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | CD Quintanar del Rey | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | CD Guadalajara S.A.D B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Huracan Balazote | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | La Solana | Villarrobledo |
|---|---|---|
| CD Manchego CR | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CD Villacanas | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Illescas | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: La Solana (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
La Solana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Toledo Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | AD San Clemente Spain Tercera Group 18 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Almansa Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | CD Manchego CR Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Calvo Sotelo Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | AD San Clemente Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | CD Villacanas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Illescas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | CD Manchego CR Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/04 | Villarrobledo Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Villarrobledo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | CD Noblejas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Villarrubia CF Spain Tercera Group 18 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | CD Quintanar del Rey Spain Tercera Group 18 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Socuéllamos Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | CD Villacanas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Illescas Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | CD Manchego CR Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | CD Sonseca Spain Tercera Group 18 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Albacete B Spain Tercera Group 18 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/04 | La Solana Spain Tercera Group 18 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Villarrobledo win (40%). Probabilities: La Solana 29%, draw 30%, Villarrobledo 40%.
How many goals are expected in La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
The model expects 2.2 goals (La Solana 0.99 · Villarrobledo 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in La Solana vs Villarrobledo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.