Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 18/10, 12:00

Prediction: Praviano vs Siero

Team pages: Praviano · Siero

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

Praviano1.15

Siero1.2

1X2

33% 31% 36%

Praviano Draw Siero

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Praviano 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWLDD

Siero 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Praviano 4–2–0 Siero (6 last)

Siero2-3Praviano
Praviano0-0Siero
Siero3-3Praviano
Praviano1-0Siero
Siero2-3Praviano
Praviano3-1Siero

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Siero (rating 1494 vs 1557).
H2H favours Praviano: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Praviano	Siero
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	0.8 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 3	2.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 1	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.83

Under 2.251.96

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.28 → 2.28	Pinn 2.28
X	3.05 → 3.05	Pinn 3.05
2	3.07 → 3.07	Pinn 3.07

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
10:43 +21’	2.28	3.05	3.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Praviano 4–2–0 Siero

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 2	Siero	2-3 HT 2-2	Praviano
23/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 2	Praviano	0-0	Siero
23/05/21 Spain Tercera Group 2	Siero	3-3	Praviano
18/04/21 Spain Tercera Group 2	Praviano	1-0 HT 1-0	Siero
16/02/20 Spain Tercera Group 2	Siero	2-3 HT 1-1	Praviano
29/09/19 Spain Tercera Group 2	Praviano	3-1	Siero

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Condal	6	4	2	0	10	2	14
2	Sporting Gijon B	6	4	2	0	10	5	14
3	Covadonga	6	4	1	1	16	8	13
4	Mosconia	6	3	3	0	10	3	12
5	Siero	6	4	0	2	9	3	12
6	CD Colunga	6	3	2	1	14	12	11
7	Caudal	6	3	2	1	9	7	11
8	Lealtad	6	3	1	2	6	4	10
9	Gijon Industrial	6	2	2	2	10	8	8
10	Praviano	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
11	El San Martin	6	2	2	2	9	12	8
12	Aviles Stadium CF	6	2	0	4	4	10	6
13	UP Langreo	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
14	UC Ceares	6	1	1	4	9	13	4
15	L'Entregu CF	6	1	1	4	2	9	4
16	Oviedo Astur	6	0	3	3	5	10	3
17	Llanes	6	0	3	3	7	14	3
18	Andes CF	6	0	1	5	2	11	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Praviano	Siero
Caudal	1-1 D	1-0 W
L'Entregu CF	1-2 L	3-0 W
UC Ceares	2-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Siero (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Praviano

LLWWLLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2	–	5-5	–	–	D
04/10	Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Lealtad Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Sporting Gijon B Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
10/05	L'Entregu CF Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/05	CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
25/04	Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/04	Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-1	–	–	L

Siero

WWWLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	L'Entregu CF Spain Tercera Group 2	3-0	3-0	2	5	W
04/10	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
26/09	UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	2-0	6	9	W
20/09	Oviedo Astur Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-0	2	0	W
13/09	Andes CF Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	Condal Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
10/05	UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/05	Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
26/04	Tuilla Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/04	SD Navarro CF Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	1-0	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Praviano vs Siero?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Siero win (36%). Probabilities: Praviano 33%, draw 31%, Siero 36%.

How many goals are expected in Praviano vs Siero?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Praviano 1.15 · Siero 1.2), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Praviano vs Siero?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.