Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 25/10, 16:45

Prediction: Mosconia vs L'Entregu CF

Team pages: Mosconia · L'Entregu CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.03Total

Mosconia1.33

L'Entregu CF0.7

1X2

52% 28% 20%

Mosconia Draw L'Entregu CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Mosconia 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWWDWDDL

L'Entregu CF 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLDLD

Head-to-head

Mosconia 2–2–2 L'Entregu CF (6 last)

Mosconia1-1L'Entregu CF
L'Entregu CF1-2Mosconia
L'Entregu CF0-1Mosconia
Mosconia1-1L'Entregu CF
L'Entregu CF1-0Mosconia
Mosconia0-2L'Entregu CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mosconia 1485 · L'Entregu CF 1429

	Mosconia	Draw	L'Entregu CF
Our model	51%	31%	18%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mosconia (rating 1485 vs 1429).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mosconia	L'Entregu CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	0.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/63/13%	17/50/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.9	1.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.60

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.67▼	Pinn 1.78 ★
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:58 +8’	1.73	3.50	4.00
18:52 +2’	1.67▼	3.60▲	4.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:19 +36’	1.78	3.26	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mosconia 2–2–2 L'Entregu CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 2	Mosconia	1-1 HT 0-0	L'Entregu CF
12/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	1-2 HT 0-1	Mosconia
16/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	0-1 HT 0-1	Mosconia
06/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 2	Mosconia	1-1 HT 1-0	L'Entregu CF
03/04/22 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	1-0	Mosconia
21/11/21 Spain Tercera Group 2	Mosconia	0-2	L'Entregu CF

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Gijon B	7	5	2	0	14	5	17
2	Covadonga	7	5	1	1	20	8	16
3	Condal	7	4	3	0	11	3	15
4	Mosconia	7	3	3	1	10	7	12
4	Siero	7	4	0	3	10	7	12
6	Caudal	7	3	3	1	9	7	12
7	Praviano	7	3	2	2	16	11	11
8	CD Colunga	7	3	2	2	14	16	11
9	Gijon Industrial	7	3	2	2	11	8	11
10	Lealtad	7	3	2	2	6	4	11
11	UP Langreo	8	2	3	3	8	10	9
12	El San Martin	7	2	3	2	10	13	9
13	Aviles Stadium CF	7	2	1	4	4	10	7
14	L'Entregu CF	7	1	2	4	3	10	5
15	UC Ceares	7	1	1	5	9	14	4
16	Oviedo Astur	7	0	4	3	6	11	4
17	Llanes	8	0	4	4	8	16	4
18	Andes CF	7	0	2	5	3	12	2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mosconia

DLDWWDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-4	4	5	L
10/10	UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2	2-0	2-2	6	3	D
04/10	Oviedo Astur Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
26/09	Andes CF Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
20/09	Condal Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
13/09	Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	2-0	2	0	W
06/09	Llanes Spain Tercera Group 2	–	5-1	–	–	W
17/05	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
10/05	SD Navarro CF Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/05	Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

L'Entregu CF

LLWLWLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	Siero Spain Tercera Group 2	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
03/10	CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
26/09	Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
20/09	UP Langreo Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-3	4	3	L
13/09	Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
06/09	Lealtad Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
26/04	El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mosconia vs L'Entregu CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mosconia win (52%). Probabilities: Mosconia 52%, draw 28%, L'Entregu CF 20%.

How many goals are expected in Mosconia vs L'Entregu CF?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Mosconia 1.33 · L'Entregu CF 0.7), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mosconia vs L'Entregu CF?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.