Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 10/10, 20:00

Prediction: Siero vs L'Entregu CF

Team pages: Siero · L'Entregu CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

Siero1.17

L'Entregu CF0.99

1X2

39% 30% 30%

Siero Draw L'Entregu CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Siero 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWWWL

L'Entregu CF 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLWLLD

Head-to-head

Siero 0–1–5 L'Entregu CF (6 last)

L'Entregu CF1-1Siero
Siero2-3L'Entregu CF
L'Entregu CF7-0Siero
Siero1-2L'Entregu CF
L'Entregu CF3-1Siero
L'Entregu CF1-0Siero

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Siero 1544 · L'Entregu CF 1422

	Siero	Draw	L'Entregu CF
Our model	38%	32%	30%
Market	40%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Siero (rating 1544 vs 1422).
H2H favours L'Entregu CF: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Siero	L'Entregu CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	0.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.10

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.45 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 2.96

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:07 +11’	2.25	3.10	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:12 +199’	2.42	2.86	2.92
19:32 +10’	2.45▲	2.90▲	2.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Siero 0–1–5 L'Entregu CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	1-1 HT 0-1	Siero
21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 2	Siero	2-3 HT 0-0	L'Entregu CF
28/03/21 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	7-0 HT 1-0	Siero
10/01/21 Spain Tercera Group 2	Siero	1-2	L'Entregu CF
17/11/19 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	3-1	Siero
13/04/19 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	1-0 HT 1-0	Siero

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Covadonga	5	4	1	0	14	4	13
2	Sporting Gijon B	5	4	1	0	9	4	13
3	Mosconia	6	3	3	0	10	3	12
4	Siero	6	4	0	2	9	3	12
5	Condal	5	3	2	0	8	2	11
6	CD Colunga	6	3	2	1	14	12	11
7	Caudal	5	3	1	1	8	6	10
8	Lealtad	6	3	1	2	6	4	10
9	UP Langreo	6	2	2	2	10	9	8
10	Gijon Industrial	5	2	1	2	8	6	7
11	Praviano	6	1	2	3	11	13	5
12	El San Martin	5	1	2	2	5	10	5
13	UC Ceares	6	1	1	4	9	13	4
14	L'Entregu CF	6	1	1	4	2	9	4
15	Llanes	5	0	3	2	6	12	3
16	Aviles Stadium CF	5	1	0	4	2	9	3
17	Oviedo Astur	5	0	2	3	3	8	2
18	Andes CF	5	0	1	4	2	9	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Siero	L'Entregu CF
Covadonga	1-2 L	0-4 L
Caudal	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Siero (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Siero

LWWWLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
26/09	UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	2-0	6	9	W
20/09	Oviedo Astur Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-0	2	0	W
13/09	Andes CF Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	Condal Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
10/05	UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/05	Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
26/04	Tuilla Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/04	SD Navarro CF Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
12/04	Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	1-3	2	4	L

L'Entregu CF

DLLLWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
26/09	Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
20/09	UP Langreo Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-3	4	3	L
13/09	Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
06/09	Lealtad Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
26/04	El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
18/04	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-3	0-4	4	4	L
12/04	Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Siero vs L'Entregu CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Siero win (39%). Probabilities: Siero 39%, draw 30%, L'Entregu CF 30%.

How many goals are expected in Siero vs L'Entregu CF?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Siero 1.17 · L'Entregu CF 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Siero vs L'Entregu CF?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.