Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 03/10, 19:00
Prediction: L'Entregu CF vs CD Colunga
Team pages: L'Entregu CF · CD Colunga
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
L'Entregu CF1.56
CD Colunga0.88
1X2
L'Entregu CF
Draw
CD Colunga
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
L'Entregu CF
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
CD Colunga
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
L'Entregu CF
3–1–2
CD Colunga
(6 last)
- L'Entregu CF0-0CD Colunga
- CD Colunga2-1L'Entregu CF
- L'Entregu CF3-1CD Colunga
- CD Colunga4-0L'Entregu CF
- CD Colunga0-1L'Entregu CF
- L'Entregu CF1-0CD Colunga
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · L'Entregu CF 1409 · CD Colunga 1476
| L'Entregu CF | Draw | CD Colunga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Colunga (rating 1409 vs 1476).
- H2H favours L'Entregu CF: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| L'Entregu CF | CD Colunga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/43/43% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.6 | 2.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · L'Entregu CF 3–1–2 CD Colunga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 2 | L'Entregu CF | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Colunga |
| 19/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 2 | CD Colunga | 2-1 | L'Entregu CF |
| 23/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 2 | L'Entregu CF | 3-1 HT 0-0 | CD Colunga |
| 10/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 2 | CD Colunga | 4-0 HT 1-0 | L'Entregu CF |
| 21/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 2 | CD Colunga | 0-1 | L'Entregu CF |
| 03/12/23 Spain Tercera Group 2 | L'Entregu CF | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CD Colunga |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Gijon B | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Mosconia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Condal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Covadonga | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Siero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | CD Colunga | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Caudal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | UP Langreo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Gijon Industrial | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Lealtad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | L'Entregu CF | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Aviles Stadium CF | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | UC Ceares | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | Praviano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Llanes | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
| 16 | El San Martin | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | Andes CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | Oviedo Astur | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | L'Entregu CF | CD Colunga |
|---|---|---|
| Aviles Stadium CF | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Praviano | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Lenense | 1-3 L | 3-3 D |
| El San Martin | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Covadonga | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
L'Entregu CF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | UP Langreo Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Lealtad Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 18/04 | Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | UD Llanera Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
CD Colunga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Oviedo Astur Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Andes CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-3 | 2-6 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/04 | Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in L'Entregu CF vs CD Colunga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a L'Entregu CF win (53%). Probabilities: L'Entregu CF 53%, draw 27%, CD Colunga 20%.
How many goals are expected in L'Entregu CF vs CD Colunga?
The model expects 2.43 goals (L'Entregu CF 1.56 · CD Colunga 0.88), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in L'Entregu CF vs CD Colunga?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.