Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 26/09, 19:30

Prediction: Caudal vs L'Entregu CF

Team pages: Caudal · L'Entregu CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

Caudal1.83

L'Entregu CF0.63

1X2

67% 21% 12%

Caudal Draw L'Entregu CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Caudal 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDWWL

L'Entregu CF 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Caudal 4–2–0 L'Entregu CF (6 last)

Caudal1-0L'Entregu CF
L'Entregu CF0-0Caudal
L'Entregu CF1-3Caudal
Caudal4-0L'Entregu CF
L'Entregu CF0-0Caudal
Caudal4-1L'Entregu CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caudal 1538 · L'Entregu CF 1428

	Caudal	Draw	L'Entregu CF
Our model	65%	24%	11%
Market	68%	19%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caudal (rating 1538 vs 1428).
H2H favours Caudal: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Caudal	L'Entregu CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/33/17%	29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	0.3 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.75

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 08:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.42▼	Bet365 1.42
X	3.75 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	4.75 → 5.25▲	Pinn 6.36 ★

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:31 +1’	1.57	3.75	4.75
23:13 +6’	1.40▼	4.10▲	6.25▲
00:14 +14’	1.30▼	4.75▲	7.00▲
02:57 +5’	1.42▲	4.20▼	5.50▼
07:09 +12’	1.30▼	4.75▲	6.50▲
08:42 +6’	1.42▲	4.33▼	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:41 +97’	1.52	3.82	5.40
22:44 +35’	1.42▼	4.11▲	6.36▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Caudal 4–2–0 L'Entregu CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 2	Caudal	1-0 HT 0-0	L'Entregu CF
28/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	0-0 HT 0-0	Caudal
17/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	1-3 HT 1-0	Caudal
06/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 2	Caudal	4-0 HT 2-0	L'Entregu CF
23/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 2	L'Entregu CF	0-0 HT 0-0	Caudal
05/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 2	Caudal	4-1	L'Entregu CF

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Gijon B	3	3	0	0	6	2	9
2	CD Colunga	3	3	0	0	8	5	9
3	Mosconia	3	2	1	0	7	1	7
4	Condal	3	2	1	0	5	0	7
5	Covadonga	3	2	1	0	10	2	7
6	Siero	3	2	0	1	3	1	6
7	Caudal	3	2	0	1	5	5	6
8	UP Langreo	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
9	Gijon Industrial	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
10	Praviano	3	1	0	2	3	4	3
11	Lealtad	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
12	L'Entregu CF	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
13	Aviles Stadium CF	3	1	0	2	1	5	3
14	UC Ceares	3	1	0	2	6	7	3
15	Andes CF	3	0	1	2	2	5	1
16	El San Martin	3	0	1	2	1	7	1
17	Llanes	3	0	1	2	4	10	1
18	Oviedo Astur	3	0	0	3	1	6	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Caudal	L'Entregu CF
Covadonga	0-4 L	0-4 L
Praviano	1-0 W	2-1 W
Lenense	4-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Caudal (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caudal

WWWWLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-4	1	10	L
13/09	UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
06/09	Astur Spain Tercera Group 2	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
17/05	Sporting Gijon B Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
10/05	Tuilla Spain Tercera Group 2	–	3-1	–	–	W
03/05	Siero Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/04	SD Navarro CF Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/04	Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	4-1	7	2	W
12/04	Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/04	Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2	2-0	4-1	5	4	W

L'Entregu CF

WLDLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	UP Langreo Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-3	4	3	L
13/09	Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
06/09	Lealtad Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
26/04	El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
18/04	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-3	0-4	4	4	L
12/04	Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
02/04	UD Llanera Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
29/03	Real Titanico Laviana Spain Tercera Group 2	2-0	5-0	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caudal vs L'Entregu CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Caudal win (67%). Probabilities: Caudal 67%, draw 21%, L'Entregu CF 12%.

How many goals are expected in Caudal vs L'Entregu CF?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Caudal 1.83 · L'Entregu CF 0.63), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Caudal vs L'Entregu CF?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.