Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 26/09, 18:00

Prediction: Siero vs UC Ceares

Team pages: Siero · UC Ceares

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Siero1.53
UC Ceares1.06
1X2
47% 27% 26%
Siero Draw UC Ceares
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Siero 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWWWLLWW
UC Ceares 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWLWWWLL
Head-to-head
Siero 0–2–4 UC Ceares (6 last)
  • Siero0-2UC Ceares
  • UC Ceares1-0Siero
  • UC Ceares0-0Siero
  • Siero1-5UC Ceares
  • UC Ceares1-1Siero
  • Siero0-2UC Ceares
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Siero 1525 · UC Ceares 1490
SieroDrawUC Ceares
Our model47%28%25%
Market48%27%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours UC Ceares: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SieroUC Ceares
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.11.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.81.2 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%33/17/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.31.3 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 03.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Siero 0–2–4 UC Ceares

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Spain Tercera Group 2
Siero0-2UC Ceares
11/01/26
Spain Tercera Group 2
UC Ceares1-0
HT 0-0
Siero
08/02/20
Spain Tercera Group 2
UC Ceares0-0
HT 0-0
Siero
21/09/19
Spain Tercera Group 2
Siero1-5
HT 0-1
UC Ceares
16/03/19
Spain Tercera Group 2
UC Ceares1-1Siero
28/10/18
Spain Tercera Group 2
Siero0-2
HT 0-1
UC Ceares

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sporting Gijon B 3300 629
2 CD Colunga 3300 859
3 Mosconia 3210 717
4 Condal 3210 507
5 Covadonga 3210 1027
6 Siero 3201 316
7 Caudal 3201 556
8 UP Langreo 3111 654
9 Gijon Industrial 3111 444
10 Praviano 3102 343
11 Lealtad 3102 233
12 L'Entregu CF 3102 243
13 Aviles Stadium CF 3102 153
14 UC Ceares 3102 673
15 Andes CF 3012 251
16 El San Martin 3012 171
17 Llanes 3012 4101
18 Oviedo Astur 3003 160

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSieroUC Ceares
Caudal 1-0 W 1-2 L
SD Navarro CF 1-0 W 3-0 W
Gijon Industrial 1-3 L 1-2 L
Praviano 2-3 L 3-2 W
Lenense 0-2 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: UC Ceares (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Siero

LLLWWWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Oviedo Astur
Spain Tercera Group 2
– 1-0 20 W
13/09 Andes CF
Spain Tercera Group 2
– 2-0 –– W
06/09 Condal
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-0 0-1 67 L
10/05 UC Ceares
Spain Tercera Group 2
– 0-2 –– L
03/05 Caudal
Spain Tercera Group 2
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 Tuilla
Spain Tercera Group 2
– 1-0 –– W
19/04 SD Navarro CF
Spain Tercera Group 2
1-0 1-0 84 W
12/04 Gijon Industrial
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 1-3 24 L
02/04 Praviano
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-2 2-3 77 L
28/03 Lenense
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 0-2 74 L

UC Ceares

LLLWLWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 CD Colunga
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-0 3-4 15 L
13/09 Caudal
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 1-2 22 L
06/09 UP Langreo
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-1 2-1 18 W
10/05 Siero
Spain Tercera Group 2
– 2-0 –– W
03/05 SD Navarro CF
Spain Tercera Group 2
– 3-0 –– W
26/04 Gijon Industrial
Spain Tercera Group 2
– 1-2 –– L
18/04 Praviano
Spain Tercera Group 2
– 3-2 –– W
12/04 Lenense
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-2 2-4 05 L
03/04 El San Martin
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 0-1 64 L
28/03 Covadonga
Spain Tercera Group 2
1-4 1-6 61 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Siero vs UC Ceares?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Siero win (47%). Probabilities: Siero 47%, draw 27%, UC Ceares 26%.

How many goals are expected in Siero vs UC Ceares?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Siero 1.53 · UC Ceares 1.06), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Siero vs UC Ceares?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.