Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 27/09, 12:00
Prediction: Aviles Stadium CF vs Sporting Gijon B
Team pages: Aviles Stadium CF · Sporting Gijon B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Aviles Stadium CF0.61
Sporting Gijon B1.68
1X2
Aviles Stadium CF
Draw
Sporting Gijon B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Aviles Stadium CF
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Sporting Gijon B
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aviles Stadium CF
1–5
Sporting Gijon B
(6 last)
- Sporting Gijon B5-0Aviles Stadium CF
- Aviles Stadium CF0-1Sporting Gijon B
- Aviles Stadium CF2-1Sporting Gijon B
- Sporting Gijon B4-0Aviles Stadium CF
- Sporting Gijon B1-0Aviles Stadium CF
- Aviles Stadium CF0-3Sporting Gijon B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aviles Stadium CF 1438 · Sporting Gijon B 1572
| Aviles Stadium CF | Draw | Sporting Gijon B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 26% | 62% |
| Market | 14% | 22% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting Gijon B (rating 1438 vs 1572).
- H2H favours Sporting Gijon B: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aviles Stadium CF | Sporting Gijon B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/43/43% | 38/50/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.9 | 2.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aviles Stadium CF 1–0–5 Sporting Gijon B
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Sporting Gijon B | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Aviles Stadium CF |
| 14/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Aviles Stadium CF | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sporting Gijon B |
| 23/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Aviles Stadium CF | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sporting Gijon B |
| 10/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Sporting Gijon B | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Aviles Stadium CF |
| 06/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Sporting Gijon B | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aviles Stadium CF |
| 19/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Aviles Stadium CF | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sporting Gijon B |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Gijon B | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | CD Colunga | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Mosconia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Condal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Covadonga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Siero | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Caudal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | UP Langreo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Gijon Industrial | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Praviano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Lealtad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | L'Entregu CF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium CF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | UC Ceares | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Andes CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | El San Martin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Llanes | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Oviedo Astur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aviles Stadium CF | Sporting Gijon B |
|---|---|---|
| Praviano | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Covadonga | 0-4 L | 0-5 L |
| UD Llanera | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Real Titanico Laviana | 2-2 D | 7-0 W |
| Llanes | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sporting Gijon B (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aviles Stadium CF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | L'Entregu CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | UD Llanera Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Real Titanico Laviana Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Llanes Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Sporting Gijon B Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | L'Entregu CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/03 | Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Sporting Gijon B
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Lealtad Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Llanes Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-4 | 0-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | UD Llanera Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | Real Titanico Laviana Spain Tercera Group 2 |
5-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aviles Stadium CF vs Sporting Gijon B?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sporting Gijon B win (63%). Probabilities: Aviles Stadium CF 13%, draw 24%, Sporting Gijon B 63%.
How many goals are expected in Aviles Stadium CF vs Sporting Gijon B?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Aviles Stadium CF 0.61 · Sporting Gijon B 1.68), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Aviles Stadium CF vs Sporting Gijon B?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.