Football · Georgia First League · 08/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Gori vs FC Sioni Bolnisi

Team pages: FC Gori · FC Sioni Bolnisi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

FC Gori1.03

FC Sioni Bolnisi1.26

1X2

30% 28% 42%

FC Gori Draw FC Sioni Bolnisi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gori 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDWWWL

FC Sioni Bolnisi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLDDWLWL

Head-to-head

FC Gori 2–2–0 FC Sioni Bolnisi (4 last)

FC Gori1-0FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi1-1FC Gori
FC Gori0-0FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi0-2FC Gori

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gori 1478 · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1511

	FC Gori	Draw	FC Sioni Bolnisi
Our model	29%	31%	40%
Market	31%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Gori: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gori	FC Sioni Bolnisi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/33/56%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.6	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.40

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.43 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:05	2.88	3.40	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:54 +1’	2.62	3.03	2.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gori 2–2–0 FC Sioni Bolnisi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Georgia Cup	FC Gori	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
06/05/26 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Gori
07/03/26 Georgia First League	FC Gori	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi
22/02/21 Europe Friendlies	FC Sioni Bolnisi	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Gori

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	19	11	6	2	24	12	39
2	FC Telavi	19	10	5	4	22	15	35
3	Merani Martvili	19	8	6	5	23	20	30
4	SFC Shturmi	19	6	9	4	17	14	27
5	Aragvi Dusheti	19	7	4	8	18	23	25
6	FC Sioni Bolnisi	19	6	7	6	25	20	25
7	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	19	6	6	7	23	26	24
8	Kolkheti Poti	19	4	6	9	24	24	18
9	FC Gori	19	3	7	9	13	24	16
10	FC Samtredia	19	4	4	11	25	36	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gori	FC Sioni Bolnisi
Merani Martvili	2-0 W	2-0 W
Kolkheti Poti	1-1 D	0-0 D
FC Gareji	1-3 L	1-1 D
FC Telavi	0-1 L	1-2 L
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-3 L	1-0 W
SFC Shturmi	0-2 L	2-0 W
Aragvi Dusheti	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Sioni Bolnisi (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Gori

LLLLLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Dila Gori Georgia Cup	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
25/07	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia Cup	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
26/06	Mertskhali Ozurgeti Georgia Cup	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/06	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
17/06	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
13/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-2	1-3	4	5	L
30/05	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
24/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	0-1	1-3	4	8	L
20/05	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
16/05	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	2	8	L

FC Sioni Bolnisi

DWWLDDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FC Gori Georgia Cup	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
22/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
17/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
13/06	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
30/05	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
24/05	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
20/05	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
16/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
10/05	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	2-0	2-0	8	2	W
06/05	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gori vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Sioni Bolnisi win (42%). Probabilities: FC Gori 30%, draw 28%, FC Sioni Bolnisi 42%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gori vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

The model expects 2.29 goals (FC Gori 1.03 · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1.26), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gori vs FC Sioni Bolnisi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.