Football · Georgia First League · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: FC Samtredia vs FC Gori

Team pages: FC Samtredia · FC Gori

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
FC Samtredia1.81
FC Gori1.53
1X2
43% 26% 31%
FC Samtredia Draw FC Gori
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Samtredia 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDDLLDLLWW
FC Gori 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLLLDWWWLW
Head-to-head
FC Samtredia 0–1–1 FC Gori (2 last)
  • FC Gori2-1FC Samtredia
  • FC Samtredia2-2FC Gori
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Samtredia 1477 · FC Gori 1506
FC SamtrediaDrawFC Gori
Our model43%25%32%
Market43%26%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC SamtrediaFC Gori
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 21.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.11.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.34.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Samtredia 011 FC Gori

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Georgia First League
FC Gori2-1
HT 1-0
FC Samtredia
11/03/26
Georgia First League
FC Samtredia2-2
HT 1-0
FC Gori

Standings · Georgia First League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Gareji 201172 241240
2 FC Telavi 201064 221536
3 SFC Shturmi 20794 191530
4 Merani Martvili 20866 242230
5 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 20767 252727
6 Aragvi Dusheti 20749 202725
7 FC Sioni Bolnisi 20677 262425
8 FC Gori 20479 172519
9 FC Samtredia 205411 293819
10 Kolkheti Poti 204610 252618

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC SamtrediaFC Gori
SFC Shturmi 2-1 W 0-2 L
FC Sioni Bolnisi 2-3 L 4-1 W
Merani Martvili 1-2 L 2-0 W
Kolkheti Poti 2-2 D 1-1 D
FC Gareji 2-3 L 1-3 L
FC Telavi 0-3 L 0-1 L
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1-1 D 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 2 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Samtredia

LDDLLDLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Aragvi Dusheti
Georgia First League
2-1 4-2 14 W
26/07 SFC Shturmi
Georgia Cup
1-1 2-1 73 W
22/06 FC Sioni Bolnisi
Georgia First League
1-1 2-3 64 L
17/06 Merani Martvili
Georgia First League
1-0 1-2 36 L
13/06 Kolkheti Poti
Georgia First League
0-1 2-2 26 D
30/05 FC Gareji
Georgia First League
0-2 2-3 68 L
24/05 FC Telavi
Georgia First League
0-2 0-3 105 L
20/05 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Georgia First League
0-0 1-1 D
16/05 SFC Shturmi
Georgia First League
1-0 1-1 63 D
10/05 FC Gori
Georgia First League
0-1 1-2 54 L

FC Gori

LLLLDWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 FC Sioni Bolnisi
Georgia First League
1-0 4-1 52 W
02/08 Dila Gori
Georgia Cup
0-0 0-2 35 L
25/07 FC Sioni Bolnisi
Georgia Cup
1-0 1-0 55 W
26/06 Mertskhali Ozurgeti
Georgia Cup
3-1 W
22/06 Merani Martvili
Georgia First League
0-0 2-0 53 W
17/06 Kolkheti Poti
Georgia First League
0-1 1-1 34 D
13/06 FC Gareji
Georgia First League
1-2 1-3 45 L
30/05 FC Telavi
Georgia First League
0-0 0-1 35 L
24/05 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Georgia First League
0-1 1-3 48 L
20/05 SFC Shturmi
Georgia First League
0-1 0-2 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Samtredia vs FC Gori?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Samtredia win (43%). Probabilities: FC Samtredia 43%, draw 26%, FC Gori 31%.

How many goals are expected in FC Samtredia vs FC Gori?

The model expects 3.34 goals (FC Samtredia 1.81 · FC Gori 1.53), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Samtredia vs FC Gori?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.