Football · Georgia First League · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: FC Sioni Bolnisi vs SFC Shturmi

Team pages: FC Sioni Bolnisi · SFC Shturmi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

FC Sioni Bolnisi1.11

SFC Shturmi1.1

1X2

35% 30% 35%

FC Sioni Bolnisi Draw SFC Shturmi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Sioni Bolnisi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDDWLWLL

SFC Shturmi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLLDDWLW

Head-to-head

FC Sioni Bolnisi 4–1–1 SFC Shturmi (6 last)

SFC Shturmi0-2FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi1-1SFC Shturmi
FC Sioni Bolnisi2-1SFC Shturmi
SFC Shturmi0-1FC Sioni Bolnisi
FC Sioni Bolnisi2-1SFC Shturmi
SFC Shturmi1-0FC Sioni Bolnisi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Sioni Bolnisi 1495 · SFC Shturmi 1504

	FC Sioni Bolnisi	Draw	SFC Shturmi
Our model	34%	32%	34%
Market	36%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Sioni Bolnisi: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Sioni Bolnisi	SFC Shturmi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:36 +20’	2.50	3.10	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Sioni Bolnisi 4–1–1 SFC Shturmi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Georgia First League	SFC Shturmi	0-2 HT 0-2	FC Sioni Bolnisi
11/03/26 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	1-1 HT 1-1	SFC Shturmi
05/10/24 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	2-1 HT 2-0	SFC Shturmi
10/08/24 Georgia First League	SFC Shturmi	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Sioni Bolnisi
01/05/24 Georgia First League	FC Sioni Bolnisi	2-1 HT 1-1	SFC Shturmi
07/03/24 Georgia First League	SFC Shturmi	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Sioni Bolnisi

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	20	11	7	2	24	12	40
2	FC Telavi	20	10	6	4	22	15	36
3	SFC Shturmi	20	7	9	4	19	15	30
4	Merani Martvili	20	8	6	6	24	22	30
5	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	20	7	6	7	25	27	27
6	Aragvi Dusheti	20	7	4	9	20	27	25
7	FC Sioni Bolnisi	20	6	7	7	26	24	25
8	FC Gori	20	4	7	9	17	25	19
9	FC Samtredia	20	5	4	11	29	38	19
10	Kolkheti Poti	20	4	6	10	25	26	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Sioni Bolnisi	SFC Shturmi
FC Gori	1-4 L	2-0 W
FC Samtredia	3-2 W	1-2 L
Aragvi Dusheti	2-3 L	2-0 W
Merani Martvili	2-0 W	2-1 W
Kolkheti Poti	0-0 D	0-0 D
FC Gareji	1-1 D	0-0 D
FC Telavi	1-2 L	0-2 L
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Sioni Bolnisi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Sioni Bolnisi

WWLDDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-1	1-4	4	2	L
25/07	FC Gori Georgia Cup	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
22/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
17/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
13/06	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
30/05	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
24/05	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
20/05	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
16/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
10/05	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	2-0	2-0	8	2	W

SFC Shturmi

DWWLLDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
26/07	FC Samtredia Georgia Cup	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
26/06	West Georgia Georgia Cup	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/06	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
13/06	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
30/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-2	1-2	8	8	L
24/05	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
20/05	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
16/05	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	9	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs SFC Shturmi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Sioni Bolnisi win (35%). Probabilities: FC Sioni Bolnisi 35%, draw 30%, SFC Shturmi 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs SFC Shturmi?

The model expects 2.21 goals (FC Sioni Bolnisi 1.11 · SFC Shturmi 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Sioni Bolnisi vs SFC Shturmi?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.