Football · Georgia First League · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Kolkheti Poti vs FC Telavi

Team pages: Kolkheti Poti · FC Telavi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.81Total

Kolkheti Poti0.74

FC Telavi1.07

1X2

26% 31% 43%

Kolkheti Poti Draw FC Telavi

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Kolkheti Poti 0-6-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLDDDDDL

FC Telavi 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWLD

Head-to-head

Kolkheti Poti 1–1–4 FC Telavi (6 last)

FC Telavi3-1Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti0-1FC Telavi
Kolkheti Poti0-1FC Telavi
FC Telavi1-1Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti1-0FC Telavi
FC Telavi1-0Kolkheti Poti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kolkheti Poti 1434 · FC Telavi 1596

	Kolkheti Poti	Draw	FC Telavi
Our model	24%	35%	41%
Market	27%	28%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Telavi (rating 1434 vs 1596).
H2H favours FC Telavi: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kolkheti Poti	FC Telavi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	1.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.20

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 1.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:27 +2’	3.30	3.20	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolkheti Poti 1–1–4 FC Telavi

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Georgia First League	FC Telavi	3-1 HT 1-0	Kolkheti Poti
11/03/26 Georgia First League	Kolkheti Poti	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Telavi
22/10/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Kolkheti Poti	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Telavi
09/08/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Telavi	1-1 HT 0-1	Kolkheti Poti
29/04/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Kolkheti Poti	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Telavi
05/03/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Telavi	1-0 HT 0-0	Kolkheti Poti

Standings · Georgia First League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	20	11	7	2	24	12	40
2	FC Telavi	20	10	6	4	22	15	36
3	SFC Shturmi	20	7	9	4	19	15	30
4	Merani Martvili	20	8	6	6	24	22	30
5	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	20	7	6	7	25	27	27
6	Aragvi Dusheti	20	7	4	9	20	27	25
7	FC Sioni Bolnisi	20	6	7	7	26	24	25
8	FC Gori	20	4	7	9	17	25	19
9	FC Samtredia	20	5	4	11	29	38	19
10	Kolkheti Poti	20	4	6	10	25	26	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kolkheti Poti	FC Telavi
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-2 L	1-0 W
Aragvi Dusheti	0-0 D	1-0 W
SFC Shturmi	0-0 D	2-0 W
FC Gori	1-1 D	1-0 W
FC Samtredia	2-2 D	3-0 W
FC Sioni Bolnisi	0-0 D	2-1 W
Merani Martvili	0-1 L	0-0 D
FC Gareji	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 6 D 2 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Telavi (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kolkheti Poti

LDLLDDDDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
25/07	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia Cup	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
22/06	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/06	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
13/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
30/05	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
24/05	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
20/05	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
16/05	FC Gareji Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	8	4	D
10/05	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	1-3	5	7	L

FC Telavi

DWWWWWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
02/08	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Cup	0-1	0-1	0	3	L
26/07	FC Iberia 1999 II Georgia Cup	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
22/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
17/06	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
13/06	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
30/05	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
24/05	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	2-0	3-0	1	5	W
20/05	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
16/05	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	0	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kolkheti Poti vs FC Telavi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Telavi win (43%). Probabilities: Kolkheti Poti 26%, draw 31%, FC Telavi 43%.

How many goals are expected in Kolkheti Poti vs FC Telavi?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Kolkheti Poti 0.74 · FC Telavi 1.07), with a 59% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kolkheti Poti vs FC Telavi?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.