Football · Georgia First League · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: Merani Martvili vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Team pages: Merani Martvili · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Merani Martvili1.46

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi1.14

1X2

43% 28% 29%

Merani Martvili Draw Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Merani Martvili 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLWLLL

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Merani Martvili 1–2 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi (3 last)

Merani Martvili1-2Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi1-2Merani Martvili
Merani Martvili2-3Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Merani Martvili 1455 · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1543

	Merani Martvili	Draw	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Our model	43%	28%	28%
Market	44%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Odishi 1919 Zugdidi (rating 1455 vs 1543).
H2H favours Odishi 1919 Zugdidi: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Merani Martvili	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.4	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	2.1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	5.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.25

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:18 +8’	2.05	3.25	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Merani Martvili 1–0–2 Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Georgia Cup	Merani Martvili	1-2 HT 0-1	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
10/05/26 Georgia First League	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-2 HT 0-0	Merani Martvili
11/03/26 Georgia First League	Merani Martvili	2-3 HT 2-3	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	20	11	7	2	24	12	40
2	FC Telavi	20	10	6	4	22	15	36
3	SFC Shturmi	20	7	9	4	19	15	30
4	Merani Martvili	20	8	6	6	24	22	30
5	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	20	7	6	7	25	27	27
6	Aragvi Dusheti	20	7	4	9	20	27	25
7	FC Sioni Bolnisi	20	6	7	7	26	24	25
8	FC Gori	20	4	7	9	17	25	19
9	FC Samtredia	20	5	4	11	29	38	19
10	Kolkheti Poti	20	4	6	10	25	26	18

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Merani Martvili	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi
SFC Shturmi	1-2 L	2-1 W
FC Gori	0-2 L	3-1 W
FC Samtredia	2-1 W	1-1 D
Aragvi Dusheti	1-1 D	1-1 D
Kolkheti Poti	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Gareji	0-1 L	2-1 W
FC Telavi	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Odishi 1919 Zugdidi (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Merani Martvili

WDLWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
26/07	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia Cup	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
22/06	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
17/06	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
13/06	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
29/05	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
24/05	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
20/05	FC Gareji Georgia First League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
16/05	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
10/05	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Odishi 1919 Zugdidi

DWWDLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
01/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Cup	1-2	1-4	4	3	L
26/07	Merani Martvili Georgia Cup	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
26/06	FC Gagra II Georgia Cup	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
22/06	FC Gareji Georgia First League	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
17/06	FC Telavi Georgia First League	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
13/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
30/05	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	2-1	2-1	0	8	W
24/05	FC Gori Georgia First League	1-0	3-1	5	8	W
20/05	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Merani Martvili vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Merani Martvili win (43%). Probabilities: Merani Martvili 43%, draw 28%, Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 29%.

How many goals are expected in Merani Martvili vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Merani Martvili 1.46 · Odishi 1919 Zugdidi 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Merani Martvili vs Odishi 1919 Zugdidi?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.