Football · Georgia First League · 08/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Telavi vs FC Gareji

Team pages: FC Telavi · FC Gareji

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

FC Telavi1.21

FC Gareji0.8

1X2

46% 30% 24%

FC Telavi Draw FC Gareji

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

FC Telavi 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWWL

FC Gareji 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWDLWL

Head-to-head

FC Telavi 1–4–1 FC Gareji (6 last)

FC Gareji2-0FC Telavi
FC Telavi0-0FC Gareji
FC Gareji3-3FC Telavi
FC Telavi0-0FC Gareji
FC Gareji0-0FC Telavi
FC Telavi1-0FC Gareji

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Telavi 1572 · FC Gareji 1535

	FC Telavi	Draw	FC Gareji
Our model	44%	32%	23%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Telavi	FC Gareji
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.3	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.1	1.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.20

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.91▼	Pinn 1.93
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.63 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:05	1.95	3.20	3.50
12:49 +4’	1.80▼	3.25▲	3.90▲
08:52 +2’	1.91▲	3.20▼	3.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:54 +1’	1.93	3.01	3.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Telavi 1–4–1 FC Gareji

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Georgia First League	FC Gareji	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Telavi
07/03/26 Georgia First League	FC Telavi	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Gareji
21/11/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Gareji	3-3 HT 2-2	FC Telavi
13/09/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Telavi	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Gareji
16/05/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Gareji	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Telavi
06/04/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Telavi	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Gareji

Standings · Georgia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Gareji	19	11	6	2	24	12	39
2	FC Telavi	19	10	5	4	22	15	35
3	Merani Martvili	19	8	6	5	23	20	30
4	SFC Shturmi	19	6	9	4	17	14	27
5	Aragvi Dusheti	19	7	4	8	18	23	25
6	FC Sioni Bolnisi	19	6	7	6	25	20	25
7	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	19	6	6	7	23	26	24
8	Kolkheti Poti	19	4	6	9	24	24	18
9	FC Gori	19	3	7	9	13	24	16
10	FC Samtredia	19	4	4	11	25	36	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Telavi	FC Gareji
Aragvi Dusheti	1-0 W	1-0 W
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi	1-0 W	1-2 L
SFC Shturmi	2-0 W	0-0 D
FC Gori	1-0 W	3-1 W
FC Samtredia	3-0 W	3-2 W
FC Sioni Bolnisi	2-1 W	1-1 D
Merani Martvili	0-0 D	1-0 W
Kolkheti Poti	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Telavi (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Telavi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Cup	0-1	0-1	0	3	L
26/07	FC Iberia 1999 II Georgia Cup	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
22/06	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
17/06	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
13/06	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
30/05	FC Gori Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
24/05	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	2-0	3-0	1	5	W
20/05	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
16/05	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
10/05	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-0	3-1	2	7	W

FC Gareji

WDWDWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	FC Gagra Georgia Cup	1-3	1-4	3	2	L
25/07	FC Basa Georgia Cup	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
22/06	Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
17/06	SFC Shturmi Georgia First League	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
13/06	FC Gori Georgia First League	2-1	3-1	5	5	W
30/05	FC Samtredia Georgia First League	2-0	3-2	4	8	W
24/05	FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League	0-1	1-1	1	5	D
20/05	Merani Martvili Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
16/05	Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
10/05	Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League	0-0	1-0	7	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Telavi vs FC Gareji?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Telavi win (46%). Probabilities: FC Telavi 46%, draw 30%, FC Gareji 24%.

How many goals are expected in FC Telavi vs FC Gareji?

The model expects 2.02 goals (FC Telavi 1.21 · FC Gareji 0.8), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Telavi vs FC Gareji?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.